Each Sunday, Deeg will provide his Top 5 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks. For new football bettors, Anytime TD props are bets that predict which players will score a touchdown at any time during the game.
Deeg has been on absolute fire with his picks. Its worth your time to follow him for sure.
Week 10 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Michael Gallup +210 (FanDuel)
The Dallas Cowboys got their butts whooped by the Denver Broncos last week. Don’t worry, Cowboys fans; help is on the way.
Wide receiver Michael Gallup will be back in the lineup after missing the last eight weeks due to injury. He had seven targets in Week 1 and left in the third quarter. He will instantly slot in and be a go-to target on one of the top offenses in the NFL.
Allen Lazard +340 (FanDuel)
Allen Lazard and Aaron Rodgers will be back for the Green Bay Packers this week against the Seattle Seahawks.
Lazard is a massive component of the Packers’ offense. He has not played fewer than 80% of the snaps in the last four games and has a touchdown in three straight games.
Kalif Raymond +360 (FanDuel)
It is not ideal to take a Detroit Lion, but these odds were too good to pass up. Raymond has played well and is the Lions’ top target.
Raymond has been the third-best wide receiver against man coverage this season. The Pittsburgh Steelers play man coverage at the fifth-highest rate in the NFL.
Quez Watkins +380 (FanDuel)
Quez Watkins is waiting for a breakout game. I think this is going to be the day Watkins becomes a household name in the NFL.
He played 96% of the snaps last week and is the best deep threat on the Eagles roster. The Denver Broncos have given up the 4th most 20+ yard receptions this season.
David Njoku +480 (FanDuel)
Guess who leads all tight ends in the NFL in yards per route run. You guessed it: David Njoku.
He has been severely underrated all season and is starting to get more playing time. He played 74% of the snaps last week and scored a touchdown. He has taken over the top tight end spot on the Browns.
Week 9 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Jerry Jeudy +230 (FanDuel)
Jerry Jeudy made his return to the lineup last week after missing the previous seven weeks due to injury. He finished with four catches for 39 yards. He played in 72% of the snaps.
Jeudy is the most talented player on the Broncos roster. I waited a week to take him because I knew he needed a week to get his legs under him. Getting him at +230 is a steal against this Cowboys defense that has allowed eight touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.
Taysom Hill +250 (FanDuel)
Taysom Hill will make his return from injury this week after missing the last three games. I took Hill in the game he got injured. Revenge game.
With no Jameis Winston for the rest of the season, I expect Sean Payton to lean on Hill heavily in the red zone. Hill has 10 red zone targets in five games this season.
Jordan Howard +260 (FanDuel)
Why was Jordan Howard on the practice squad the first seven weeks of the season? He was awesome last week for the Eagles, scoring two touchdowns on 12 carries.
The Chargers’ run defense is horrendous. They have allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs and the most rushing yards per game by a wide margin.
Tyrod Taylor +350 (FanDuel)
He’s back. Tyrod Taylor will make his first start since Week 2 after recovering from a hamstring injury. He was the third-ranked quarterback in EPA per play through the first two weeks.
Taylor had a 15-yard touchdown run in Week 2 and has never been afraid to use his legs.
Buffalo Bills D/ST +360 (FanDuel)
This is my first D/ST pick of the year for the Sunday day games. The Bills have the top defense in the NFL by every metric you can find.
The Bills defense has one touchdown already this season, and Isaiah McKenzie is one of the better returners in the NFL. Jacksonville’s offense is tied for third in the NFL in giveaways.
Week 8 Anytime TD Scorer Props
Nick Westbrook – Ikhine +400 (FanDuel )
The Tennesee Titans passing offense is starting to heat up. Ryan Tannehill has over a 100 passer rating in two of his last three games, contributing to their three-game winning streak.
Nick Westbrook – Ikhine steps in for Julio Jones as their second wide receiver behind AJ Brown. In Nick’s two starts this season, he has 12 targets for 82 yards and a touchdown.
Joe Mixon 2+ +650 (FanDuel)
We are going back to Joe Mixon 2+. He scored one the last time we took him. This week is going to be different.
The Jets cannot keep running backs out of the end zone. They have allowed 11 total touchdowns to running backs, ten of those on the ground.
Brandon Aiyuk +250 (FanDuel)
Jimmy Garoppolo will get the start for the 49ers in this game. Brandon Aiyuk and Garoppolo have a great connection.
The Bears’ pass defense has been atrocious. They have allowed the most passing touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season.
Jared Cook +240 (FanDuel)
I am 2/2 picking Jared Cook this year. Let’s make it 3/3. Cook is the big-bodied tight end that the Chargers are going to need in this game.
Bill Belichick loves taking away the opposing team’s best weapon. Mike Williams will be double covered in the red zone, opening up Cook for some easy matchups.
Rob Gronkowski +200 (FanDuel)
Rob Gronkowski is back healthy for the Buccaneers, who will be needing him with Antonio Brown sidelined for a second straight game.
This one is a no-brainer. Whenever you get the chance to take Gronk at +200 and above, you jump on it.
Week 7 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Tee Higgins +230 (FanDuel)
Tee Higgins is going to have a huge second half of the season. With Ja’Marr Chase doing so well, teams will have to account for him and gameplan to take him out of the game.
Higgins slots perfectly in as the second wide receiver on this Bengals team. Since returning from injury in Week 5, he has 13 targets, and he currently leads the team in red zone targets overall.
Allen Lazard +250 (FanDuel)
With Marquez Valdes-Scantling on IR, Allen Lazard has taken over the second wide receiver position in Green Bay. He has played in 85% of the snaps in back-to-back games.
He scored a touchdown last week, and Washington’s defense is terrible at slowing down wide receivers. They have allowed the second-most yards and touchdowns to wide receivers this season.
Dallas Goedert +240 (FanDuel)
It’s officially Dallas Goedert season in Philadelphia. With Zach Ertz being dealt to Arizona, he will formally take over Philadelphia’s tight end position.
Goedert has been waiting for this opportunity and has the talent to shine as the top tight end. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points and the second-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends.
Zach Ertz +240 (DraftKings)
Yes, I have both Goedert and Zach Ertz on my card this week. No, I am not crazy.
Ertz at +240 is a steal against this Texans defense. They have allowed the most touchdowns to tight ends this season. Ertz is a veteran who will be able to pick up the Cardinals playbook rather quickly.
Justin Fields +370 (FanDuel)
Justin Fields is the Bears’ best red zone option. This offense is struggling, so I expect more game-planned runs this week featuring Fields. These odds are too juicy to pass up.
Week 6 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Hunter Henry +250 (FanDuel)
Hunter Henry has emerged as the top tight end in New England. Jonnu Smith has taken a back seat to Henry has ten receptions for two touchdowns in his last two weeks.
Dallas’s defense has surrendered three touchdowns to tight ends this season, and in general, has problems keeping opposing pass-catchers out of the end zone.
Jared Cook +280 (FanDuel)
Jared Cook has been a tremendous addition to the Los Angeles Chargers offense. He has been better than Hunter Henry, who they let walk and become the highest-paid tight end in New England.
The Ravens have allowed three touchdowns to tight ends this season. Two weeks ago, Noah Fant went for 46 yards and a touchdown. Even Mo Alie-Cox had 50 yards last week. The Ravens are susceptible to tight ends.
Kendall Hinton +400 (FanDuel)
No, Kendall Hinton is not playing quarterback. Hinton has emerged as the Broncos’ third wide receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick.
He had a touchdown last week and received tons of praise from offensive coordinator Pat Schurmer this week. His role in the offense will continue to grow.
Nico Collins +480 (FanDuel)
Nico Collins is back after suffering an injury in Week 2. He has only played 45 snaps this season.
The Texans traded up in the draft to select Collins in the third round. The Texans fans need some young talent to get excited about. He will instantly slot in as the second wide receiver behind Brandin Cooks. At +480, this is a no-brainer.
Joe Mixon 2+ +600 (FanDuel)
Let’s get crazy. I hit David Montgomery 2+ at +750 in Week 4. I am going back to taking the running back at 2+ of the team who is playing the Lions.
The Lions cannot hold running backs out of the end zone. They have allowed 10 total touchdowns to opposing running backs this season.
Week 5 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Trey Lance +195 (FanDuel)
Jimmy Garappolo has been ruled out with a calf injury, so rookie Trey Lance will get his first career NFL start. Last week, Lance took over for an injured Garappolo and had nine completions for 157 yards and two touchdowns.
What’s important to look at from Lance’s game last week was his seven rushing attempts. He only played 51% of the snaps. Kyle Shanahan will draw up an offensive game plan that will feature a heavy dose of Lance running the ball.
Robert Tonyan +200 (FanDuel)
The Bengals’ defense has been solid this year, but they have played some mediocre offenses. They have faced Ben Roethlisberger, Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Kirk Cousins, and Trevor Lawrence.
The Packers’ offense will easily be their toughest test so far this season. Robert Tonyan had seven targets last week and played 78% of the snaps.
Tayson Hill +250 (DraftKings)
Taysom Hill’s playing time is skyrocketing. He only played 25% of the snaps in Week 1. He has played at least 50% in back-to-back games. Hill has become the Saints’ go-to target in the red zone. He had two rushing touchdowns last week and one in Week 3.
Washington has allowed the most rushing yards by quarterbacks so far this season.
Kadarius Toney +260 (DraftKings)
Kadarius Toney also has seen an increase in playing time. He played 78% of the snaps last week compared to only 8% in Week 1. Toney had seven touches for 79 yards last week.
Toney slots in as the Giants’ second wide receiver in this game. The Cowboys have already allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers. This will be his breakout game.
Zach Ertz +390 (FanDuel)
Zach Ertz came out the gate slow, but has turned it on over the last two weeks. He has 153 yards and one touchdown in his previous two weeks.
Head coach Nick Sirianni has started to utilize him in the offense. He had 15 targets during those two weeks.
Week 4 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Corey Davis +225
Not only do I think Corey Davis will find the end zone, I think the Jets are going to win this game outright. The Tennessee Titans offense is depleted without Julio Jones and A.J Brown, and the Jets have to win at some point, right?
On the Davis side, the Titans passing defense is atrocious. They are 27th in passing yards allowed to wide receivers and are tied for 30th in receiving touchdowns allowed to wide receivers. Davis leads the Jets in targets with 22 and rarely leaves the field. He played 94% of the snaps last week.
Logan Thomas +175
Logan Thomas has hit for me once already this season. Let’s go back to him. Thomas has a great matchup this week against the 1-2 Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons defense has struggled to contain tight ends. They have allowed three receiving touchdowns to tight ends, which is dead last in the league. Thomas and Heinicke have a connection going back to last year.
LONGSHOT: David Montgomery 2+ TDs +750
Any longshot bet I have, I recommend keeping it to .5 units. The Detroit Lions cannot stop running backs from entering the end zone. That is the best way to explain it.
They have allowed eight touchdowns to running backs this year: five rushing touchdowns and three receiving touchdowns. David Montgomery is the Bears’ best chance of getting their offense going. Matt Nagy knows this. He is going to have a big day.
Javonte Williams +200
Javonte Williams got his first career NFL touchdown last week against the Jets. He has 43 touches through three games and will become the Broncos lead running back. It’s just a matter of time.
The Ravens are dead last in rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs. Teams will stay away from passing against them in the red zone considering their secondary is their biggest strength on defense.
Freddie Swain +310
Freddie Swain has flown up the Seahawks depth chart. He was the fourth wide receiver on the depth chart heading into Week 1. Now, he could be as high as second.
Tyler Lockett is dealing with a hip injury and was held out of practice on Thursday. He is expected to play, but his playing time could be limited. Swain has tremendous value at +310.
Check FanDuel and Draft Kings for Anytime TD Scorer prop odds.
Week 3 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Laviska Shenault +240 at Draft Kings (Bet $1, check bonus for $150 more)
Its only a matter of time before Laviska Shenault finds the end zone. He has 16 targets through two games and is their best red zone threat.
With the Jaguars struggling on offense, look for Laviska to get some red zone carries. He already has two carries to start the season.
Zach Pascal +240 at Draft Kings
Who had Zach Pascal tied for second in the NFL in receiving touchdowns through two games? Anyone? Well, let’s continue to ride the wave. Pascal has become the go-to target in the red zone for the Colts.
Carson Wentz will be a game-time decision, but Pascal is a great pick at those odds, even if he doesn’t play. The Titans’ defense has been terrible out the gate. The Titans have allowed the most receiving touchdowns to wide receivers in the league with six. Pascal has played 91% of the snaps in back-to-back games.
K.J Osborn +225
The Minnesota Vikings have found a third receiver behind Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. K.J Osborn has stepped up into the third receiver role that the Vikings have been desperately looking for.
Osborn has been great through two weeks. He has 12 receptions for 167 yards and a touchdown, including 91 yards and a touchdown last week. The Seahawks defense has given up the third-most yards per game.
Olamide Zaccheaus +380
With Russell Gage out with injury, Olamide Zaccheaus will jump into the second wide receiver role. Getting a second wide receiver at +380 odds is just too juicy to pass up.
Zaccheaus is the Falcons’ deep threat. At best, the Giants’ defense has been mediocre to start the season, allowing the six most yards in the NFL.
Elijah Moore +400 at FanDuel
The Jets offense has to start clicking at some point, right? This weekend, the Jets have a tough matchup against the Broncos, but Zach Wilson is due for a breakout game.
Elijah Moore is starting to get more involved in the offense. He had eight targets last week, and at +400, this is a no-brainer.
Week 2 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Van Jefferson +240 Rams
Van Jefferson came out of nowhere for the Rams on Sunday Night Football. He played in 69% of the snaps and had two catches for 80 yards and a touchdown. Sean McVay raved about him all offseason, and he will be an integral part of the offense for the rest of the season.
The Colts struggled against the Seahawks wide receivers last week. They allowed three touchdowns to the Seahawks wideouts, and Xavier Rhodes is out again.
Jared Cook +165 Chargers
Get used to the Justin Herbert to Jared Cook connection. He had eight targets last week, hauling in five catches for 56 yards. Cook is a big-bodied tight end that will be Herbert’s go-to man in the red zone this season.
The Cowboys linebackers struggle against tight ends. They did last year and showed they did not fix their problems in Week 1. Robert Gronkowski had two easy touchdowns against the Cowboys in the season opener.
Ja’Marr Chase +175 Bengals
The fifth overall pick got off to a hot start. He had seven targets, catching five of them for 105 yards and a touchdown. He and Joe Burrow have a good connection already. Chase played 90% of the snaps in the season opener.
The Bears’ defense struggled against wide receivers last week, especially against the deep ball. I expect a few deep shots to Chase in this game.
Donovan Peoples-Jones +300 Browns
This is my longshot of the week. He only had one target last week, but he played in 80% of the offensive snaps. With Odell out the Browns need a wide receiver to step up.
Javonte Williams +150 Broncos
The rookie is going to start seeing more carries as the weeks go by. All season, he will be the red zone back for the Broncos, and the Jaguars allowed two rushing touchdowns in Week 1.
Week 1 Anytime TD Scorer Props Picks
Jalen Hurts +275
The Eagles’ offense is a bit of an unknown right now. But one thing is certain: Jalen Hurts will be a huge part of the run game.
Hurts had three rushing touchdowns in his four starts last season and will be going up against a defense that struggled against opposing quarterbacks. The Falcons gave up the third-most rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks last season. [ Bet Now at FanDuel ]
Kareem Hunt Anytime TD +130
Even with Nick Chubb on the roster, Kareem Hunt is going to get his touches this year. Hunt had at least ten touches in all but one game last season.
The Chiefs’ run defense is going to be mediocre at best again this season. They made no upgrades to their front seven, and Tyrann Mathieu might not play on Sunday. [ Bet Now at FanDuel ]
Nyheim Hines Anytime TD +240
Nyheim Hines just cashed in on a three-year, $18.6 million contract extension, making him a Top 10 paid running back in the NFL. That proves he will be a large part of the offense this year.
He is terrific at catching the ball out of the backfield. With Wentz getting familiar with a new offense, he will be relying on his running backs in the passing game. Hines at +240 is excellent value. The Seahawks finished 21st in passing touchdowns allowed to running backs last season. [ Bet Now at DraftKings ]
Zack Moss Anytime TD +180
The Steelers’ defense was excellent across the board last season, but they were in the middle of the pack in keeping running backs out of the end zone.
Zack Moss will get the bulk of the workload out the gate this season and should see all of the redzone touches. He is the bigger running back on the team, and many people around the Buffalo Bills are excited to see what he can do this season. Offensive coordinator Brian Daboll could want to get his young running back early touches in the season to get his confidence up. The +180 line is too juicy to pass up. [ Bet Now at DraftKings ]
Logan Thomas +180
Logan Thomas fantasy owners should be excited for this year. Curtis Samuel is now on the IR for the first three weeks, so his roll just got a lot bigger.
The Chargers gave up the 4th most touchdowns to tight ends last season. Thomas is going to have a huge year. [ Bet Now at DraftKings ]