Oct 25, 2020; Denver, Colorado, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) passes the ball in the first half against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Week 14 NFL OVER UNDER picks

Some early Week 14 OVER UNDER picks hit the board, so handicappers can grab favorable early totals numbers.

In this case, it means acting fast on four NFL battles. Check out the latest football betting lines and full matchup reports on every game.

Here are several totals for this week that are worthy of your attention. Odds are early week numbers from SugarHouse NJ and BetRivers.

Last week’s record: 26-23-2


Chicago’s defense has fallen off a cliff with 75 points allowed the last two weeks, and Deshaun Watson and Co. have scored at least 27 in five of their last eight games. The Bears running game has also suddenly come alive, and Houston has one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. Both teams should put up 24-plus points in this one.


It’s scary to chase the under with the Chiefs, but their offense hasn’t been quite as explosive as usual the last few weeks and a road game against the league’s No. 2-ranked scoring defense might not be the doctor ordered. Miami has surrendered just 20 total points the last three weeks and hasn’t given up more than 21 since early-November, and the Dolphins also haven’t scored more than 20 points in three consecutive outings. I’d watch for an under in a 24-20-type game here.


This might seem high, but the Jags give up 27 or so points on basically a weekly basis and Derrick Henry is likely to bounce back for a Tennessee team that has still scored 30-plus in three consecutive games. The Jacksonville offense has also been respectful of late aside from a blip against Pittsburgh. These teams combined for 63 points in their last meeting and should be in that range again here.


I don’t expect this one to fly over the total by a massive margin, but I still think there’s some value associated with the over. The Steelers offense is too talented to score fewer than 20 points for a third consecutive week, and the rolling Buffalo offense is averaging 33.8 points per game the last four weeks. With the Steelers’ defense shorthanded, both teams could push the 30 mark here.

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com


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