Nov 15, 2020; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Los Angeles Chargers running back Kalen Ballage (31) runs the ball against the Miami Dolphins during the second half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 NFL OVER UNDER picks

Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for Week 6 of the 2020 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.

Here are several Week 6 NFL OVER UNDER picks (opening totals from FanDuel and Draft Kings) that are worthy of your attention. Check out the Week 6 NFL odds and matchup reports on every game as well.

2021 RECORD: 10-14

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This is pushing it. The last two Vikings games have contained 36 or fewer points, while the Panthers still have the league’s third-ranked defense in terms of points allowed. Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota offense can be unpredictable, but I don’t trust him or Sam Darnold.


Speaking of lacking trust, I’m giving up on the supposed stacked Washington defense. The Chiefs are also a lost cause on that side of the ball, and I don’t think Vegas could push this total high enough as a result. You know Patrick Mahomes and Co. will be fired up to make a statement, but even if this is a blowout Washington should have some fight in garbage time at home. I’m thinking Chiefs 35, WFT 28 in a battle between the two worst defensive teams in football at the moment.


The Chargers are coming off an 89-point game, the Ravens a 56-point game. Both defenses are rather vulnerable, both quarterbacks are rather electric and there’s little reason to believe this won’t be a close shootout. Easy over.


The Lions have consistently been good for no more than 14-17 points per week, while the Bengals have the league’s seventh-rated scoring defense. They could light up a weak Detroit D, but even that unit has been better on paper than it was to start the season. The last three Lions games and the last four Bengals games have all contained 47 or fewer points. I’m expecting those runs to continue here.

Archived Week 6 OVER UNDER picks article from Oct. 16, 2020

Last week’s record: 10-6-2

Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles (46.5)

The heavily favored Ravens have scored at least 27 points in all four of their wins, while every Eagles game this season has contained at least 44 points. Baltimore’s defense is strong and Philly’s offense has been a mess, but the Eagles are slowly getting healthier on that side of the ball. Baltimore should hit the 30 plateau but Philadelphia should be able to put up 20 points as this one flies over by at least a touchdown.

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Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (44)

The Bears have scored just 31 total points the last two weeks while the Panthers have surrendered just 17.7 points per game the last three weeks. Carolina’s offense has exceeded expectations without Christian McCaffrey of late, but that doesn’t feel overly sustainable against one of the league’s best defenses.

Look for this to be the fourth Bears game in a six-week span to fall short of 40 total points.

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (47)

I have no idea why this total is so high. The Bengals scored just three points last week against Baltimore and now face an even tougher defense. DeForest Buckner and Justin Houston should tee off on a terrible Cincinnati offensive line, and there’s little reason to believe an Indy offense that has scored just 42 points the last two weeks will suddenly put up 30-plus here. This one should fall short of 40.

Washington Football Team at New York Giants (43)

The hell? Washington has surrendered 30-plus points in four straight games and the Giants just combined for 71 with Dallas. Sure, the New York offense is unpredictable and the Washington offense has been a disaster, but both teams should easily score more than 20 points here. The over is a no-brainer.

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at

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