Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) warms up before a preseason game against the Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium Saturday, Aug. 21, 2021 in Tampa, Fla.

Titans Bucs 008

Titans see biggest line movement among division favorites

The Tennessee Titans have been responsible for the biggest line shift among division favorites ahead of the full first Sunday of the 2021 NFL season.

The Titans opened at +110 at BetMGM to win the AFC South but are now the -100 favorites to win the division. The public is backing them with 56.3 percent of the money and 50.0 percent of the total bets at the sportsbook.

Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts have lengthened from slight favorites at +100 to now being offered at +150 by BetMGM, where they have been backed by 23.7 percent of the money and 18.2 percent of the bets.

The AFC South is widely considered one of the most top-heavy divisions in the NFL. The Jacksonville Jaguars have moved from +1200 to +650, but the Houston Texans have seen their odds lengthen from +1600 to +2500.

The biggest division favorites remain the Kansas City Chiefs, although they have moved from +455 to +275. The public has bet down the Denver Broncos from +1800 to +700 while the Los Angeles Chargers have moved from +550 to +450.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been backed by 95.1 percent of the handle at BetMGM to win the NFC South and 58.9 percent of the tickets, by far the most of any of the 32 teams. The Cleveland Browns lead in the AFC with 61.0 percent of the money bet on teams in the North while the Titans have been backed by the most division winner bets in the conference.

BetMGM NFL Insights: Division Odds

AFC East
Line movement: Patriots +450 to +350
Biggest liability: Patriots

AFC North
Line movement: Ravens +120 to +115
Biggest liability: Bengals

AFC South
Line movement: Titans +110 to -110
Biggest liability: Jaguars

AFC West
Line movement: Chargers +550 to +450
Biggest liability: Raiders

NFC East
Line movement: Washington +320 to +220
Biggest liability: Giants

NFC North
Line movement: Packers -250 to -165
Biggest liability: Lions

NFC South
Line movement: Buccaneers -125 to -190
Biggest liability: Buccaneers

NFC West
Line movement: 49ers +200 to +190
Biggest liability: Rams

–Field Level Media

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) applauds as the team huddles before a play against Buffalo  during the first half of the preseason game  at Ford Field in Detroit on Friday, Aug. 13, 2021.

Lions to lead NFL in wins? $20 wager would fetch $30K

One proud bettor placed a $20 wager on the Detroit Lions to become king of the longshots this season.

A bettor with BetMGM took the Lions at +150000 odds to lead the NFL in wins in 2021.

If the Lions beat the odds and come through, the ticket would cash for $30,000.

BetMGM has taken more than 80 percent of total bets on team win totals on the Lions to exceed five victories in 17 regular-season games in 2021. As of Aug. 9, the Lions “over” on five wins was the most bet regular-season win total at BetMGM.

In head coach Dan Campbell’s first season with the Lions ahead, Detroit is attempting to snap a streak of three losing seasons in which the franchise posted a 14-33-1 record.

The Lions have only one season with as many as 12 wins (12-4 in 1991) since 1934.

Since the NFC Central became the NFC North in 2002, the Lions have finished fourth (last) nine times, including three consecutive seasons entering 2021.

–Field Level Media

Nov 30, 2020; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles tight end Richard Rodgers (85) catches a touchdown pass during the fourth quarter against the Seattle Seahawks at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Eagles’ Hail Mary costs bettor $500k wager

Richard Rodgers’ one-handed grab off a Hail Mary pass from Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz with 21 second remaining on Monday night cost one bettor a $500,000 wager.

BetMGM said Monday night that it had received a $500,000 wager on the Seattle Seahawks to win by at least 6.5 points.

Seattle led 23-9 when Wentz launched a 33-yard pass into a crowd of players in the end zone. Rodgers caught the deflected ball with his right hand while falling to the ground.

Miles Sanders then scored easily on the two-point conversion to make the score 23-17. Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf recovered the Eagles’ on-side kick attempt to seal the final score.

The bettor, who stood to make a $455,000 profit before the late score, instead lost the $500,000 wager.

Making the “bad beat” even worse is that the Seahawks were 5.5-point favorites as late as Saturday night at some sportsbooks.

–Field Level Media

Nov 1, 2020; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (7) loss top throws as Baltimore Ravens linebacker L.J. Fort (58) rushes during the first half  at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Home for the holiday: Bettors backing Cowboys, Steelers

NFL fans will have a warm-up game before diving into a pair of rivalry matchups with significant playoff implications on Thanksgiving Day.

Home teams already have the advantage on short weeks due to the quick turnaround and travel that visiting teams have to contend with. That edge has been even more evident on Thanksgiving Day, with home teams going 31-13 (.705) against the spread on the holiday since 2003, according to BetMGM.

However, the sportsbook said it does not adjust its odds based off that data.

The Houston Texans (3-7) will play at the Detroit Lions (4-6) to kick off Thursday’s action in a game between teams jockeying for draft position. The Texans are favored by 3.0 points by BetMGM, which set the over-under at 51.5 total points scored.

Those teams are right in the mix with the Washington Football Team and the Dallas Cowboys, who are each 3-7. However, that puts them both just a half-game behind the Philadelphia Eagles in the woeful NFC East, with the winner in Dallas on Thursday at least temporarily taking over first place in the division.

The Cowboys are favored by 3.0 points at BetMGM with the over/under being offered at 45.5 points.

The final game of the day will pit the 6-4 Baltimore Ravens against the undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Ravens have lost consecutive games to fall to third place in the AFC North and in a tie for seventh place in the conference. The betting favorite to win Super Bowl LV by some sportsbooks early in the season, Baltimore is now in a battle just to reach the postseason.

The Ravens already lost at home to the Steelers (10-0) earlier this season, and now they are dealing with a COVID-19 outbreak that will leave them particularly shorthanded at running back. BetMGM is offering the Steelers at -4.0 with the over/under at 44.5 points.

Pittsburgh is now being offered at +550 by BetMGM to win the Super Bowl, behind only the Kansas City Chiefs (+300). The Steelers are also listed at +250 to win the AFC behind the Chiefs (+160). Meanwhile, the Ravens’ title odds have lengthened to +1800 and they are +900 to win the conference.

The book said the majority of the early bets have been on the Texans, Cowboys and Steelers to cover on Thursday.

“Favorites have performed well the past few seasons but there is no guarantee that they will continue to cover on Thanksgiving,” BetMGM sportsbook manager Matt Cosgriff said. “The sportsbook does not adjust lines for games based on these trends.”

–Field Level Media

Nov 1, 2020; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Demarcus Robinson (11) is congratulated by quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) and tight end Nick Keizer (48) and wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) after scoring a touchdown against the New York Jets during the second half at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds shorten; Steelers vault to No. 2

The Baltimore Ravens’ second loss of the season had a significant impact on Super Bowl odds across sportsbooks.

The Kansas City Chiefs’ odds shortened a bit at most sportsbooks, with the defending champions being offered at +350 by BetMGM and PointsBet, down from +400 from last week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are now the second betting favorite at +600 at BetMGM and +550 at PointsBet. The Steelers remain the lone undefeated team in the NFL after coming from behind to beat the Ravens on Sunday.

The Chiefs are being offered at +160 to win the AFC Championship by BetMGM, followed by the Steelers (+300) and Ravens (+500).

Baltimore’s Super Bowl odds have lengthened to +1000 by BetMGM and +900 by PointsBet. Virtual co-favorites with the Chiefs by many sportsbooks early this season, the Ravens are now also behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+650) and the Seattle Seahawks (+800) at both books.

Tampa Bay is the +260 favorite to win the NFC Championship by BetMGM, followed by the Seahawks (+340), New Orleans Saints (+600) and Green Bay Packers (+600).

The New York Jets remain the league’s lone winless team at 0-7, with PointsBet setting their over (-130)/under (+110) win total at 1.5. BetMGM is offering the Jets at +250 to go 0-16, while the book is offering the Steelers at +1100 to finish the regular season undefeated and +2000 to go 19-0 with a Super Bowl title.

Super Bowl LV odds (PointsBet)
Kansas City Chiefs: +350
Pittsburgh Steelers: +550
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +650
Seattle Seahawks: +800
Baltimore Ravens: +900
Green Bay Packers: +1400
New Orleans Saints: +1400
Buffalo Bills: +2200
Arizona Cardinals: +2500
Indianapolis Colts: +2500
Tennessee Titans: +2500
Los Angeles Rams: +3300
Philadelphia Eagles: +4000
San Francisco 49ers: +4000
Las Vegas Raiders: +5000
Chicago Bears: +6000
Cleveland Browns: +6000
Miami Dolphins: +6600
Detroit Lions: +10000
Los Angeles Chargers: +10000
Minnesota Vikings: +10000
New England Patriots: +10000
Carolina Panthers: +15000
Dallas Cowboys: +15000
Denver Broncos: +15000
Washington Football Team: +15000
Houston Texans: +20000
Atlanta Falcons: +25000
New York Giants: +30000
Cincinnati Bengals: +50000
Jacksonville Jaguars: +100000
New York Jets: +200000

Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson strengthened his MVP odds with a four-touchdown game in Seattle’s win over the San Francisco 49ers. With 26 touchdown passes through seven games, Wilson is the -164 favorite by BetMGM and -175 favorite by PointsBet.

That puts him well ahead of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who is being offered at +300 by BetMGM and +350 by PointsBet. BetMGM is also offering Wilson at -164 in a prop bet against the field (+135).

While Trevor Lawrence’s Heisman Trophy hopes have taken a hit following the Clemson quarterback’s positive COVID-19 test, he remains the overwhelming favorite to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.

Despite Lawrence saying last week that there’s a chance he returns for his senior year, the Clemson star is being offered at -1000 by PointsBet to go No. 1 overall. That remains unchanged from last week, with Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields next at +500, followed by Oregon offensive tackle Penei Sewell (+750), who opted out of this season to focus on the draft.

–Field Level Media

Jun 5, 2018; Allen Park, MI, USA; Detroit Lions logo on the front of a podium before practice at the Lions Headquarters and Training Facility. Mandatory Credit: Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Lions announce BetMGM as first official betting partner

The Detroit Lions named BetMGM as the team’s first official sports betting partner on Thursday.

The partnership is an extension of the Lions’ prior relationship with MGM Resorts International.

“The Detroit Lions’ historic relationship with BetMGM has been years in the making and we’re proud to announce details of our official partnership,” team president Rod Wood said in a news release. “We’re continuously seeking new ways to entertain and involve our fans which is especially important during such unusual times; this partnership with BetMGM will provide additional and exciting opportunities to engage our fans.”

As part of the agreement, BetMGM will sponsor a bingo game on the Lions’ mobile app that will allow fans to predict certain outcomes throughout the football games.

The BetMGM Sports Lounge at MGM Grand Detroit opened in March. Michigan legalized sports betting and online gambling in December.

“When we first opened the BetMGM Sports Lounge at MGM Grand Detroit in March, we hoped to develop deep relationships with the state’s top teams,” BetMGM chief marketing officer Matt Prevost said. “We are honored to be the first sports betting partner of the Lions and to offer their fans access to a variety of best-in-class promotions and perks only available on BetMGM.”

BetMGM has recently signed similar deals with the Denver Broncos, NASCAR and the PGA Tour.

–Field Level Media