Nov 19, 2022; College Park, Maryland, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) throws during the second half against the Maryland Terrapins  at SECU Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Buckeyes QB C.J. Stroud now odds-on Heisman favorite

Hendon Hooker’s fading Heisman Trophy odds took a hit with every touchdown Tennessee fell behind by at South Carolina on Saturday night.

They officially ended when the senior quarterback suffered a season-ending torn ACL in his knee.

Hooker was taken off the Heisman Trophy board at sportsbooks, leaving Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud as the odds-on favorite.

Stroud has one major regular-season hurdle left as Ohio State prepares to play host to Michigan on Saturday. However, even a loss to the Wolverines may not derail Stroud’s path to the Heisman.

He is the -120 favorite at DraftKings and -130 at BetMGM, where Stroud has been backed by 10.6 percent of the total tickets and 19.0 percent of the money. Those figures will likely rise significantly for as longs the sportsbooks continue to take new Heisman bets.

The only other player within shouting distance at DraftKings is Southern California quarterback Caleb Williams at +1200. Now other player has shorter odds than Michigan running back Blake Corum at +1500.

BetMGM is offering Williams at +125, followed by North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye at +700 and Corum at +1100. Williams, who dropped to +1100 following the Trojans’ lone loss to the season, is now back as the second favorite while drawing 6.7 percent of the bets and 5.3 percent of the money.

USC will play host to Notre Dame on Saturday ahead of a Pac-12 championship dates against Washington, Oregon or Utah.

Stetson Bennett, the quarterback for No. 1 Georgia, remains a massive longshot at +8000 both sportsbooks.

–Field Level Media

November 13, 2022; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) is tackled by Los Angeles Chargers linebacker Khalil Mack (52) during the second quarter at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

49ers-Cardinals in Mexico: Preview, Prop Picks, Prediction

The San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals will meet in Mexico City on Monday night, 17 years after the NFC West rivals clashed in the first regular-season NFL game played outside of the United States.

Nearly 90,000 fans are expected at Estadio Azteca, with the 49ers a consensus 10-point favorite.

San Francisco (5-4) is seeking a third consecutive win that would vault the team into a first-place tie in the division with Seattle. Arizona (4-6) is trying to build on a victory over the Los Angeles Rams last week with the Cardinals scraping to stay in the playoff picture.

Colt McCoy is expected to start at quarterback for Arizona again in place of Kyler Murray, who missed the Rams game due to a hamstring injury.

PROP PICKS

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer (-140 at BetMGM): This is the second most popular prop at the sportsbook, right behind McCaffrey at +450 to score the first touchdown of the game. He has a pair of rushing touchdowns to go with a receiving score and another passing in the past two games since getting fully integrated into the offense.

Cardinals RB James Conner Over 50.5 Rushing Yards (-120 at DraftKings): The 49ers have the No. 2 run defense in the league, allowing an average of just 82.7 yards per game on the ground. It won’t be an easy task but as long as the Cardinals can keep the game within reach, they will need to stay balanced offensively with McCoy at the helm. Following the surprising release of Eno Benjamin, Conner is the unquestioned bell cow in Arizona’s backfield.

49ers TE George Kittle Over 3.5 Receptions (-140 at BetMGM): This is the third most popular prop at the sportsbook. After a slow start to the season following a groin injury, Kittle appears to be back to 100 percent. He had just one catch on two targets in the win over the Chargers before the bye but averaged 5.5 receptions on 7.5 targets over the previous four games. There is some concern over how the 49ers will spread the ball to all of their healthy offensive weapons, but the Cardinals are allowing 247.1 yards per game through the air.

INJURY REPORT

49ers: DT Arik Armstead (foot, ankle) is out, while DE Samson Ebukam (quadricep, Achilles) is questionable.

Cardinals: Murray (groin) is expected to miss his second consecutive game, although McCoy (knee) wasn’t listed on the final injury report. WR DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) is listed as questionable but is expected to play. G Max Garcia (shoulder) is also questionable, while offensive tackle D.J. Humphries (back), TE Zach Ertz (knee) and CB Byron Murphy (back) are out.

PREDICTION

The injury focus for Arizona has been on the quarterback position but the left side of the offensive line is beat up and McCoy won’t have Ertz at his disposal. Ten points is a big spread but this game could also get out of hand come the second half and San Francisco’s defense is the top-ranked unit in the league. –49ers 30, Cardinals 16

–Field Level Media

Nov 13, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) throws the ball against the Minnesota Vikings during the first half at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Bills-Browns over-under swings wildly with move to Detroit

A change in venue for the Cleveland Browns-Buffalo Bills game on Sunday led to a major swing in the game’s over-under odds and the cancellation of some bets.

The NFL announced Thursday that the game would be moved from Orchard Park, N.Y., where five-plus feet of snow is expected this week, to Detroit.

Caesars Sportsbook subsequently tweeted, “Bets placed on this event prior to the location change will be void.”

However, DraftKings ruled that because the game day and the designated home team remain unchanged, all existing bets would stand.

The point spread for the contest remained relatively stable. The Bills had been favored by 8.5 points for the game in Buffalo, and most sites still had the spread at that figure Thursday night.

The total for the game, though, varied wildly. After opening at around 46.5 to 47.5 points, the over-under dipped down to 42.5 to 44 points due to brutal forecast for Western New York.

After the announcement of the move to New York, the game was off the board for a bit, then was reposted at most books with a 48.5-point total.

–Field Level Media

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) acknowledges the fans as he leaves the field following an overtime victory against the Dallas Cowboys during their football game Sunday, November 13, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin

Apc Packvscowboys 1113222312djpa

Titans at Packers: Preview, Prop Picks, Prediction

The Green Bay Packers are eager to find out whether or not their offense can keep rolling when they play host to the Tennessee Titans on Thursday night.

The Packers (4-6) snapped a five-game losing streak in stunning Dallas last week, while the Titans (6-3) also came from behind to beat Denver.

Green Bay has won two of the past three meetings in the series, including a 40-14 home romp over Tennessee during Week 16 of the 2020 season.

The winning team has scored 40 points or more in four of the past five meetings, a run that dates back to 2004.

Maintaining the trend Thursday might take some doing. Tennessee has scored no more than 24 points in a game this season, while 31 points is the high-water mark for Green Bay.

Despite the Titans sitting atop the lowly AFC South while the Packers are just trying to stay in playoff contention, Green Bay is a consensus 3.5-point favorite at home.

The Packers have been backed by 54 percent of the spread-line bets and 60 percent of the handle at BetMGM, while the Titans have drawn 60 percent of the bets at DraftKings, where the money has been evenly split.

Green Bay moved from a 3.0-point favorite to 3.5 on Wednesday at BetRivers, where it has been backed by 61 percent of the money.

PROP PICKS
Titans RB Derrick Henry Anytime TD Scorer (-195 at BetRivers): This prop is worth shopping around for, with BetRivers offering slightly better odds than some other sportsbooks. It has been the most popular player prop at BetRivers, drawing 4.2 percent of the total game tickets along with 2.0 percent of the money. The Packers rank ninth in total defense, but that’s on the strength of their pass defense. Green Bay is 26th in allowing an average of 140.6 yards per game on the ground.

Packers RB A.J. Dillon Over 33.5 Rushing Yards (-120 at DraftKings): Green Bay topped 200 yards rushing for the third time this season against Dallas while starting the same offensive line in consecutive games for the first time this season. Expect that trend to continue, especially in cold prime-time conditions. Aaron Jones led the way with 24 carries last week, but Dillon still managed 65 yards on 13 touches. Tennessee also will be without two starters and a key reserve on defense.

Under 41 Total Points (-108 at BetRivers): The Titans are averaging only 18.4 points per game. Only two of 140 playoff teams since 2002 have averaged that few. Meanwhile, the Packers’ recipe for success likely hinges on quarterback Aaron Rodgers playing an unfamiliar complementary roll to the two-headed ground game. Green Bay also averaged only 15.8 games during its losing streak.

INJURY REPORT
Titans: Center Ben Jones (concussion), safety Amani Hooker (shoulder), outside linebacker Bud Dupree (hip), kicker Randy Bullock (calf) and backup safety Lonnie Johnson Jr. (hamstring) are out. Defensive back Elijah Molden (groin) and defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons (ankle) are questionable.

Packers: Inside linebacker De’Vondre Campbell (knee) and wide receiver Romeo Doubs (ankle) are out, while cornerback Shemar Jean-Charles (ankle) is doubtful and offensive tackle Elgton Jenkins (knee) is questionable.

PREDICTION
The Packers’ furious rally to upset the Cowboys kept their playoff heartbeat ticking but this is still a team with significant issues. It will be close, especially at home against a Titans team that also struggles to put points on the board, but Tennessee’s stout defense will better control field position. –Titans 20, Packers 19

–Field Level Media

Bills quarterback Josh Allen  walks of the field after fumbling the snap that turned into a Vikings touchdown.

OT loss costs Bills ground but still Super Bowl, AFC favorites

From a prohibitive favorite to narrowly leading the pack in a matter of hours on Sunday, oddsmakers are adjusting futures markets following Buffalo’s overtime loss to the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday.

Still listed as the team to beat in the AFC East division, the Bills would be the No. 6 seed in the AFC if the playoffs began Monday.

At 6-3, they’re behind the Miami Dolphins (7-3) and New York Jets, who are also 6-3 but own a head-to-head win over the Bills.

Before Sunday’s kickoff, FanDuel had the Bills at -450 to win the division. By the time the Vikings recovered a fourth Buffalo fumble and pushed the game into overtime, the Bills dipped to -150 with the Dolphins +240 and Jets at +1100.

The Bills are still +200 and atop the AFC champion futures at FanDuel, with the Kansas City Chiefs +240 and the Baltimore Ravens +650.

Miami is +950 at FanDuel.

Buffalo also is the favorite to win the Super Bowl, but at +380 their odds are lower than they have been at FanDuel since July.

The Eagles and Chiefs are +500 and the Minnesota Vikings are +1300, even with the Ravens.

Caesars Sportsbook has the Bills at -180 in the division, +190 in the conference and +380 for the Super Bowl.

The Chiefs closed to +220 in AFC winner odds and +475 for the Super Bowl.

Minnesota is the largest favorite for a division title at -6000 in the NFC North. But Philadelphia is the big favorite in the NFC: +190 to claim the conference title and +500 to win the Super Bowl at Caesars.

–Field Level Media

Nov 6, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Cordarrelle Patterson (84) celebrates after a touchdown with tight end Kyle Pitts (8) against the Los Angeles Chargers in the first quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Falcons at Panthers: Preview, Prop Picks, Prediction

A quick turnaround might be exactly what the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons need.

The NFC South foes return to action Thursday night in Charlotte, N.C., 11 days after a 37-34 shootout between the same teams in Georgia.

The Falcons (4-5) coughed up a lead in Sunday’s 20-17 home loss to the Los Angeles Chargers drop into a tie with Tampa Bay atop the NFC South. But with little time to lament missed opportunities, Atlanta swiftly fixed its focus to the Panthers.

The Falcons pulled out an overtime victory against the Panthers, who twice had potential game-winning kicks go off the mark. Preparing scouting reports might not be as complex as a normal short week in the case.

“Thankfully, we just played Carolina and we’re very familiar with them,” Falcons coach Arthur Smith said. “It doesn’t mean it will be the same thing. They’ll adjust their plan and we’ll have to adjust ours.”

There’s a lot going on with the Panthers (2-7). But like their division foes, Carolina doesn’t have much time to dwell on it.

Interim coach Steve Wilks said it’s critical that the team keeps tabs on following through and trusting the process, which is part of the reason he’ll ride with quarterback PJ Walker. Walker had a 0.0 quarterback rating with two interceptions and three completions when he was benched for Baker Mayfield last week.

The Panthers faced a 35-point halftime deficit, which became a 42-21 loss Sunday at Cincinnati.

“We all have bad games,” Wilks said. “PJ wasn’t the only one. I could bench everybody if we go off bad games.”

The Falcons are consensus 2.5-point favorites. They have been backed by 81 percent of the spread-line bets and money at DraftKings, 80 and 82 percent at BetMGM and 69 and 55 percent at BetRivers.

PROP PICKS
Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson Anytime TD (+110 at BetMGM): This is the second-most popular prop bet at the sportsbook, right behind Patterson at +650 to score the first touchdown of the game. The Panthers are 28th against the run and gave up five total touchdowns to Bengals RB Joe Mixon last week. Patterson missed the first meeting between the teams due to a knee injury, but scored a pair of touchdowns in his return last weekend.

Under 41.5 Total Points (-100 at BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings): These teams combined for 71 points two weeks ago, but that was in an overtime game. On a short week, the public is backing the Under in the rematch. It has drawn 64 percent of the money at BetMGM and 62 percent at DraftKings. However, the Over has received 54 percent of the handle action at BetRivers.

Falcons QB Marcus Mariota Over 05 Passing TDs (-235 at DraftKings): This is among the most popular props at the sportsbook despite Mariota’s inconsistency this season. He has failed to throw a touchdown in three of nine games this season, but Mariota did pass for 253 yards with three touchdowns in the first meeting and Carolina is giving up an average of 25.3 points per game.

INJURY REPORT
Panthers: Team sack leader Brian Burns (shoulder) and cornerback Donte Jackson (ankle) were full participants in Tuesday’s practice and Wednesday’s session. Burns does not carry an injury designation, while Jackson is listed as questionable to play. Running back Chuba Hubbard (ankle), defensive tackle Matthew Ioannidis (back) and right tackle Taylor Moton (elbow) are also questionable.

Falcons: Offensive lineman Matt Hennessy (knee) is out along with starting cornerback A.J. Terrell (hamstring), safety Erik Harris (foot) and tight end Feleipe Franks (calf).

PREDICTION
This is a critical road game for the Falcons who face a stretch leading into their bye week that includes home games against Chicago and Pittsburgh sandwiched around a trip to Washington. Atlanta should be able to control field position with their ground game, which also helps protect the Falcons’ 31st-ranked defense. –Falcons 20-17

–Field Level Media

Oct 27, 2022; Tampa, Florida, USA;  Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) drops back to pass against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the first quarter at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Ravens at Saints: Preview, Prop Picks, Prediction

The Baltimore Ravens are riding their first two-game winning streak of the season as they visit a New Orleans Saints team trying to win consecutive games for the first time on Monday night.

First-place Baltimore (5-3) leads the AFC North after defeating Cleveland and Tampa Bay the last two weeks.

The Ravens moved to strengthen their defense, which is ranked 20th in the NFL in scoring (22.9 points allowed per game) by acquiring linebacker Roquan Smith, who was the NFL’s leading tackler through last week with 83, from the Chicago Bears before the trade deadline.

The Saints (3-5) lost five of their first seven games before their most complete performance of the season in a 24-0 home victory against the Las Vegas Raiders last Sunday.

Baltimore has won eight of its past nine road games at night against NFC teams, while New Orleans has failed to cover the spread in eight of its past night games against opponents with a winning record, according to BetRivers.

The line has moved from the Ravens -1.5 to -2.0 at the sportsbook, where they are being backed by three quarters of the spread bets and 55 percent of the money. The same spread at DraftKings has seen more lopsided action with the Ravens drawn 78 percent of the bets and 74 percent of the money.

The line opened at 3.0 points at BetMGM but has shifted to Baltimore -1.5 with the Ravens backed by 59 and 61 percent of the action, respectively.

PROP PICKS

Saints RB Alvin Kamara Anytime TD Scorer (-120 at BetMGM): This has been the second-most popular prop bet at the sportsbook behind only Kamara being the first player to score a touchdown in the game at +600. While Smith has received a crash course in the Ravens’ defense since being acquired last week, both props provide intriguing value. Kamara had 158 yards of total offense against the Raiders, rushing for one touchdown and catching two more. Granted, they were his first three scores of the season.

Saints QB Andy Dalton Over 0.5 Interceptions (-141 at BetRivers): This has garnered 13 percent of the total prop game money at the sportsbook. He has lost 19 of his past 25 games as a starter in prime-time games, the majority of them coming with Cincinnati. Three of Dalton’s four picks this season came in a loss at Arizona but while he’s facing the league’s 28th-ranked pass defense, the Ravens will bring constant pressure and do have eight interceptions on the season.

Ravens TE Isaiah Likely Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at BetMGM): The rookie out of Coastal Carolina enjoyed a breakout performance with six catches for 77 yards and a touchdown against Tampa Bay — and that was only after Andrews left the game. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson relies heavily on his tight ends in the passing game and the 6-foot-4 Likely runs routes like a wide receiver. He has topped 41.5 yards only twice this season, but it’s a very realistic goal Monday night as TE1 in the passing game. DraftKings (-120) and BetRivers (-120) are offering the same Over/Under line, but at slightly shorter odds.

INJURY REPORT

Ravens: Tight end Mark Andrews (shoulder, knee) has been ruled out, while wide receiver Rashod Bateman (foot) is done for the season. Running back Gus Edwards (hamstring) is doubtful. Receiver Demarcus Robinson (groin), cornerback Marcus Peters (quad, knee) and linebacker Malik Harison (foot) are among those questionable. Starting linebacker Tyus Bowser and rookie linebacker David Ojabo are expect to make their season debuts.

Saints: Wide receiver Michael Thomas (toe) is expected to miss the remainder of the season, while cornerback Marshon Lattimore (abdomen) and running back Mark Ingram (knee) are out. Wide receiver Jarvis Landry (ankle) is questionable.

PREDICTION

The Ravens hold a slim half-game lead in the AFC North but appear to be trending in the right direction. They should be focused and motivated for a road prime-time game leading into their bye week, and the Saints’ defense takes a major hit with Lattimore sidelined. –Ravens 30, Saints 24

–Field Level Media

Oct 8, 2022; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA;  Texas A&M Aggies head coach Jimbo Fisher prior to a game against the  Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Texas A&M’s Jimbo Fisher big favorite to be next coach fired

Jimbo Fisher has gone from sparring with Nick Saban over NIL deals to fighting for his job in just six short months.

The Aggies opened the season ranked No. 6 in the AP Top 25 and viewed as a potential title contender. However, Texas A&M has stumbled to a 3-5 record that leaves have stumbled to a 3-5 record that leaves the program battling just to become bowl-eligible.

After opening their SEC schedule with a come-from-behind win at Arkansas, the Aggies have suffered four consecutive defeats. After the latest — a 31-28 setback at bitter rival Ole Miss — Fisher has been installed as the +200 favorite by SportsBetting.ag to be the next FBS coach fired this season.

Texas A&M suffered its first loss of the season at home in shocking fashion to Appalachian State. The Aggies appeared to put the wheels back on the wagon with wins over Miami and Arkansas before the four-game skid, with the past three losses coming by a combined 13 points.

Complicating matters is the massive 10-year contract extension Fisher signed last year. If Texas A&M were to fire Fisher after the 2022 season, the school would be on the hook for nearly $86 million.

His fate in College Station could be determined by the Aggies’ final three SEC games — at home versus Florida this Saturday followed by a road game against Auburn, which just fired its coach, Bryan Harsin, and the regular-season finale against LSU on Nov. 26.

The next-shortest odds to be the next coach fired belong to South Florida’s Jeff Scott at +350 and Stanford’s David Shaw at +500.

Next Coach Fired Odds
Jimbo Fisher, Texas A&M (+200)
Jeff Scott, South Florida (+350)
David Shaw, Stanford (+500)
Steve Sarkisian, Texas (+700)
Justin Wilcox, Cal (+750)
Jedd Fisch, Arizona (+800)
Jeff Haley, Boston College (+900)
Neal Brown, West Virginia (+900)
Pat Fitzgerald, Northwestern (+1200)
Ken Niumatalolo, Navy (+1600)
Mel Tucker, Michigan State (+2500)
Mario Cristobal, Miami (+3300)
Brent Venables, Oklahoma (+5000)

Harsin became the sixth Power 5 coach fired this season on Monday. He followed Scott Frost (Nebraska), Herm Edwards (Arizona State), Geoff Collins (Georgia Tech), Paul Chryst (Wisconsin) and Karl Dorrell (Colorado).

–Field Level Media

Oct 30, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) celebrates with wide receiver A.J. Brown (11) after a touchdown connection against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Eagles at Texans: Preview, Props, Prediction

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts returns to his hometown on Thursday night as one of the frontrunners for NFL Most Valuable Player honors.

He also returns as a near two-touchdown favorite, but that hasn’t dissuaded the public from backing the Eagles (7-0) heavily against the Houston Texans (1-5-1). Philadelphia is a consensus 13.5-point favorite but has drawn 75 percent of the spread-line bets and 72 percent of the handle at BetMGM, 76 and 82 percent of the action at BetRivers and 74 and 57 percent at DraftKings.

The Eagles have covered 11 consecutive times as favorites at BetRivers and are 4-1 in their past five games as double-digit favorites.

One bettor from West Virginia is so confident in Philadelphia that he placed a $185,000 wager on the Eagles’ -750 moneyline.

“Going back to Houston, it should be fun,” Hurts said. “It’s always been a dream of mine to play at NRG-Reliant Stadium and I’ve spent a lot of time in that city — my childhood, growing up in Houston, going to watch the Texans play, being in the Texans’ facility as a kid.

“Going to watch high school playoff games in that stadium and not ever having the opportunity to play in it. I will have an opportunity this week and I’m looking forward to playing. It should be fun.”

PROP PICKS
Over 45.5 Total Points (-112 at BetRivers): Philadelphia has hit the Over in all but one of its past seven games against AFC opponents. The public is backing the Over with nearly two-thirds of both total tickets and money at the sportsbook.

Miles Sanders Anytime TD (+150 at BetMGM): If the Eagles are up big they figure to turn to a heavy dose of the ground game early. Sanders has five touchdowns through seven games while the Texans enter with the league’s worst run defense allowing an average of 186.0 yards per game on the ground.

Texans WR Chris Moore Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings): One of the most popular player props at sportsbooks is the Under on Davis Mills’ passing yards because he’ll be minus Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins against one of the league’s top defenses. But Mills has to throw to someone and Moore steps in as his No. 1 wideout, having caught multiple passes if four of his five games this season and a total of 10 receptions for 128 yards and a score.

INJURY REPORT
Eagles: Tackle Jordan Davis and cornerback Josiah Scott are out with ankle injuries.

Texans: Collins (groin) is out while Cooks is not expected to play, reportedly because he did not get moved before the trade deadline. Defensive tackle Maliek Collins (chest), linebacker Neville Hewitt (hamstring), safety Grayland Arnold (quad) and guard Justin McCray (concussion) are also out. Linebacker Christian Harris (thigh) and defensive back Desmond King (knee) are questionable.

PREDICTION
Nothing is for certain for teams traveling on a short week but don’t expect the Eagles to let up until this game is safely in hand. Hurts is squarely in the MVP race, entering the game seventh in completion percentage (67.0 percent) and tied for fourth in rushing touchdowns (six). –Eagles 34, Texans 20

–Field Level Media

Oct 6, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos linebacker Bradley Chubb (55) gestures after a play in the second quarter against the Indianapolis Colts at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Bradley Chubb trade has modest impact on Dolphins’ odds

The Miami Dolphins were widely praised after acquiring Bradley Chubb ahead of the NFL’s trade deadline, but it failed to move the needle for many oddsmakers.

DraftKings told Field Level Media that the sportsbooks shifted the Dolphins Super Bowl odds from +3500 to +3000 after the deal was announced Tuesday. Their AFC Championship odds also shortened from +1800 to +1600 while their odds of winning the AFC East were trimmed from +1200 to +100.

However, BetMGM reported no movement in the Dolphins’ futures markets in the wake of the deal. In fact, the sportsbook told Field Level Media that no NFL team futures were impacted by trades announced on Tuesday.

BetRivers did not move Miami’s lines following news of the Chubb trade, although the Dolphins’ Super Bowl odds have shortened to +2500 from +3000 the previous day. Their championship odds also shifted from +1400 to +1200 and their divisional odds from +1000 to +900.

Chubb, 26, was considered the prized defender available at the trade deadline. The 2018 first-round pick had 26 career sacks for the Denver Broncos, with 5.5 of them coming this season as an outside linebacker in a 3-4 scheme – the same scheme employed by Miami.

The Dolphins parted with their first-round selection next year in a package of draft picks sent to Denver in a bold move to upgrade a pass rush that has produced only 15 sacks through eight games. Chubb will now comprise a formidable duo with Jaelen Phillips, who leads Miami with 3.0 sacks.

Miami (5-3) is 26th in the NFL in yards per play (5.89) and passing yards per game (262.1) and 28th in passing yards per attempt at 7.33 yards per pass.

The Dolphins are also expected to work on a long-term extension with Chubb, who is playing on the $7.06 million fifth-year option picked up by Denver.

Miami also parted with backup running back Chase Edmonds as part of the Broncos deal. However, the Dolphins quickly replaced him by shipping a 2023 fifth-round pick to San Francisco for Jeff Wilson, who will reunite with former 49ers backfield mate Raheem Mostert.

Wilson, 26, carried the ball 92 times for 468 yards with two touchdowns in eight games (six starts). The 49ers’ acquisition of former All-Pro running back Christian McCaffrey made Wilson expendable.

Edmonds, 26, has 216 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns on the season. He was a fourth-round pick of the Arizona Cardinals in 2018 and was in his first season in Miami.

–Field Level Media