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‘Pro Football Handle’: NFL Week 10 Breakdown: Bengals Host Red-Hot Saints, Pros On Underdog Titans (+6.5) vs. Patriots

Posted on 8 November 2018 | by Brett Smiley

The post ‘Pro Football Handle’: NFL Week 10 Breakdown: Bengals Host Red-Hot Saints, Pros On Underdog Titans (+6.5) vs. Patriots appeared first on SportsHandle.

On The Pro Football Handle, brought to you by PropSwap.com, Las Vegas-based sports talk voice Matt Perrault and veteran bookmaker Robert Walker of USBookmaking dive into select NFL games, line movements and bookmaker liabilities, plus greater sports betting topics and stories that may have nothing to do with football. Walker has seen it all behind the counter and Perrault the same from behind the microphone, so they’ll have you prepared for anything.

Somehow, it’s already NFL Week 10. There are some funky lines this week including three double digit games. Will the public continue their red hot October into November? Keep an eye on the dogs this week, they are consistently hitting (69-60-3 ATS on the season), although popular favorites have been covering recently. Listen for some key teaser opportunities and the contrarian pick of the week.

Spotify fans go here to listen. Download the PropSwap app for iOS systems here and Android here. Time codes for the episode follow below.

1:10 — The public is red hot: a recap of the season so far.

12:47 — PropSwap.com, Future Focus — Are the L.A. Chargers and Carolina Panthers getting the respect they deserve?

15:16 — Carolina Panthers +3.5 at Pittsburgh Steelers — Carolina is a team to be reckoned with and the public is paying attention.

21:00 — Buffalo Bills +6.5 (or +7) at N.Y. Jets — Without their young QBs playing, the only reason to watch this game is if you bet on it.

23:35 — Atlanta Falcons -4 at Cleveland Browns-– The Browns are home dogs? Tempting, but can you trust them?

26:04 — New Orleans Saints -5 at Cincinnati Bengals — Contrarian play of the week!

29:25 — Washington Redskins +2.5 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — FitzMagic money is pouring in, but which version will we see this week?

31:30 — New England Patriots -6.5 at Tennessee Titans — Pros are on the dog. Great teaser opportunity.

34:09 — Arizona Cardinals +16.5 at Kansas City Chiefs — If you have to play KC, play the first half.

36:00 — L.A. Chargers -10 at Oakland Raiders –– Robert is done with the Raiders but Matt will tease it.

39:06 — Seattle Seahawks +9.5 at L.A. Rams — Seattle is the livest dog you’ve ever seen.

41:31 — Miami Dolphins +9.5 at Green Bay Packers — This game is Dolphins vs. Aaron Rodgers. And the public loves Aaron Rodgers.

42:49 — Detroit Lions +6.5 at Chicago Bears — Has media spin superficially inflated the Lions?

44:22– Dallas Cowboys +7 at Philadelphia Eagles — Without Sean Lee the Cowboys suffer on defense.

45:34 — NY Giants +3 at San Francisco 49ers — San Fran is terrible but shouldn’t be favored over anybody… even the Giants.

Have a profitable Week 10, folks. Thanks for listening and see you back next week, tell a friend, sign up for our newsletter and also check out the Cover City Podcast, featuring sports bettor Eric Rosenthal.

Follow Perrault on Twitter @sportstalkmatt and Walker @robertusfsports.

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The post ‘Pro Football Handle’: NFL Week 10 Breakdown: Bengals Host Red-Hot Saints, Pros On Underdog Titans (+6.5) vs. Patriots appeared first on SportsHandle.

NFL Week 10: In ‘Lookahead Lines,’ Steelers Drop From 6.5 to 4, Falcons Gettin’ Respect

Posted on 7 November 2018 | by Thomas Casale

Every week, Sports Handle will look at NFL lines, specifically “lookahead lines” o see how they’re moving and why. Lookahead lines are those posted one week prior to a game or even before the season has begun, as CG Technology does.

By comparing changes between current lines and the numbers hung days earlier, we can get a sense of where recency bias or overreactions are seeping in.

We’ll highlight the significant shifts, look for value and suggest when it’s a good idea to get behind or stay away from certain teams. Here’s a look at the NFL Week 10 line moves and what it means to bettors. (Note: odds indicated based on current numbers at several Las Vegas sportsbooks.)

NFL Week 9 Lines, Before And After: Some Value on Steelers at Home, Big Shift in Falcons and Browns, Also Looking at Lions and Redskins

Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)

The Panthers haven’t gotten a lot of respect from oddsmakers this year. Just two weeks ago they were a home underdog to the Ravens and the line against the Steelers was 6.5 when the SuperBook released its early numbers last week.

The number stayed at 6.5 when the SuperBook and many other shops put out their opening numbers for Week 10 but the Panthers were quickly bet down to +4 within 24 hours. As of Tuesday, that’s where the line was at most Las Vegas sportsbooks. The Panthers are on a three-game winning streak with wins over the Eagles, Ravens and Buccaneers. Carolina is also 3-0 ATS in those games, two of them at home. The Panthers haven’t fared as well on the road this season, going 1-2 both SU and ATS.

The Steelers are also rolling with four consecutive wins both SU and ATS. After losing their first two games at home outright to the Chiefs and Ravens, the Steelers have won their last two over the Browns and Falcons by over two touchdowns.

The money came in on the Panthers but so far this year, Carolina hasn’t been the same team away from home. With the Steelers hitting their stride, there’s some value laying the short number at home, especially if the line continues to drop.

Read the remainder of NFL Week 10: In ‘Lookahead Lines,’ Steelers Drop From 6.5 to 4, Falcons Gettin’ Respect on SportsHandle.

‘Cover City’: NFL Week 9 Picks, Preview, Prop Bets With Christian Pina

Posted on 2 November 2018 | by Brett Smiley

The post ‘Cover City’: NFL Week 9 Picks, Preview, Prop Bets With Christian Pina appeared first on SportsHandle.

Sports Handle is pleased to present Cover City: A Pro Football Betting Podcast, brought to you by PropSwap.com. Cover City is hosted by Eric Rosenthal (@ericcports), a professional sports bettor who focuses on NFL and college football. He’s wagered more than $25 million in the last nine years, getting banned from many sportsbooks along the way.

We’re over the halfway mark. Show regular and professional sports handicapper Christian Pina (@ChristianPina) joins Rosenthal for a storyline-rich week, including a GOAT QB showdown, the L.A. Rams streaking undefeated into New Orleans, the return of FitzMagic, as well as possibly the worst QB ever, Nathan Peterman. Listen below for Week 9’s best teaser and prop opportunities and don’t miss Rosenthal’s SuperContest picks.

Time codes for the episode follow below. Listen and subscribe on Spotify here.

2:30 — Week 8 recap: the return of the pros.

4:19 — Detroit Lions +4.5 at Minnesota Vikings — The Vikings are normally among the best teams at home, but have struggled this year. Still, Minnesota or pass.

6:19 — Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 at Cleveland Browns — If you want peace of mind, take the teaser.

9:39 — Pittsburgh Steelers +3 at Baltimore Ravens — While the Ravens break Christian’s (gambling) heart again? Try to middle this game for the best value.

12:23 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 at Carolina Panthers — Don’t get caught up in the FitzMagic rollercoaster. Panthers TE Greg Olsen in the prop market is best bet for this game.

16:14 — N.Y Jets +3 at Miami Dolphins — No one cares about this game expect the betting market. If you must torture yourself, take the points.

17:10 — Atlanta Falcons +1.5 at Washington Redskins — A must win for a desperate Atlanta, but will Julio Jones ever catch a touchdown? Alex Smith in the prop market is a good way to hedge your bets, too.

19:15 — All about the PropSwap.com market. Right now, PropSwap is offering Cover City listeners 10% off their first purchase or sale. Just go to PropSwap.com/Handle to get 10% off.

25:17 — Chicago Bears -10 at Buffalo Bills — Is the Bills QB Nathan Peterman the worst quarterback to ever play the game?

31:19 — Houston Texans +1 and Denver Broncos — WR Demaryius Thomas was traded from the Broncos to the Texans. How might that impact how Houston approaches the game?

35:34 — L.A. Chargers +1.5 at Seattle Seahawks — Rosenthal is honoring his pledge to stay away from Philip Rivers. Christian is biased since he holds a Seattle game total over ticket, but thinks there could be some potential on the first half under.

37:50 — L.A. Rams +1.5 at New Orleans Saints — Will the Rams remain undefeated? Would a loss do them good?

42:10 — Green Bay Packers +5.5 at New England Patriots — Rosenthal and Christian’s teams finally go head-to-head this week in a GOAT showdown.

47:37 — Tennessee Titans +6.5 at Dallas Cowboys — This game is a long play for Christian, and has potential with first half or full game under.

49:24 — SuperContest picks by Pina.

50:39 — SuperContest picks by Rosenthal.

[Located in New Jersey and want to join a quality legal sportsbook with a generous sign up bonus? Read our review of SugarHouse Sportsbook here. Sign up using our link and you’ll get a 100% match bonus on up to $250 on your first deposit (with only a 1x wager requirement). Use code HANDLE when depositing.

[You can download the app for Android phones here and iOS devices here. Prefer the laptop/desktop experience? The web-based platform is accessible here.]

Also check out this week’s Pro Football Handle podcast!

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The post ‘Cover City’: NFL Week 9 Picks, Preview, Prop Bets With Christian Pina appeared first on SportsHandle.

Week 9 College Football Picks: LSU +15 Against No. 1-Ranked Alabama, And More

Posted on 1 November 2018 | by Brett Smiley

Each week we’ll be providing our top college football picks.

Also check out our NFL “Lookahead Lines” story, finding value (or not) by comparing earlier lines, and identifying recency bias.

This week we have six plays, including a rebound spot for Oregon and LSU getting over two touchdowns at home versus Alabama.

Week 9 College Football Picks: LSU +15 Over Alabama, Ducks -10 Over UCLA & More

cfb picks week 10 ucla oregon — RB Joshua Kelley

Oregon -10 over UCLA

Oregon is my favorite play of the season so far, assuming quarterback Justin Herbert plays. Herbert suffered a concussion in last week’s loss to Arizona but returned to practice Wednesday.

Nothing went right for the Ducks in Tucson. It was an awful spot for them coming off two emotional games against Washington and Washington State. I looked hard at fading the Ducks last week but just couldn’t trust Arizona.

While last week was a terrible spot for Oregon, this week is the exact opposite. Chip Kelly returns to Eugene where he was the head coach for four years and led the Ducks to the National Championship Game. His UCLA Bruins are coming off a 31-point loss to Utah and have dropped 10 of their last 11 conference games on the road by an average of 16 points.

Oregon has Utah on deck but because they got hammered by Arizona, the Ducks can’t afford to look past the overmatched Bruins. Nothing went right for Oregon against Arizona. It’s one of those games you just throw away because Oregon simply didn’t show up. Expect them to show up Saturday with Kelly in town.

Oregon is 4-1 at home this season. The Ducks’ only loss was to Stanford when they fumbled running out the clock. I expect Oregon to roll at home on Saturday. This line should be up to two touchdowns by kickoff. It opened Oregon -13 then dropped to 7.5 when Herbert was questionable Tuesday. It’s back on the rise, so if you like the Ducks, grab them as soon as possible.

‘Pro Football Handle’: NFL Week 9 Breakdown, Patriots-Packers, Rams-Saints

Posted on 1 November 2018 | by Brett Smiley

The post ‘Pro Football Handle’: NFL Week 9 Breakdown, Patriots-Packers, Rams-Saints appeared first on SportsHandle.

We’re over the halfway mark: Welcome to NFL Week 9. This week has two unwatchable games with Raiders vs. 49ers and Jets vs. Dolphins, but also has two monster games in Rams at Saints and Patriots at Packers. There’s also lots of teaser opportunities this week. Buckle up and dive in for a profitable and fun week.

Spotify fans go here to listen. Time codes for the episode follow below. Your feedback is welcome at @sports_handle.

1:20 — USBookmaking’s New Mexico launch review and NFL Week 8 recap.

6:22 — New Mexico sports betting kiosk roll out.

9:10 — L.A. Rams RB Todd Gurley’s smart football play (that upset some folks).

12:57 — PropSwap.com Future Focus: Rams to win the Super Bowl?

15:14 — Oakland Raiders +2.5 at San Francisco 49ers — You have to bet $10 on this game to even watch it.

17:53 — Detroit Lions +4.5 at Minnesota Vikings — Line dropped from 7 to 4.5, why so much movement?

20:31 — Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 at Cleveland Browns — Bettors are actually taking home dog Cleveland, but what does a change in coaching staff mean for the Browns? Anything over +7 is a play here.

24:25 — Pittsburgh Steelers +3 at Baltimore Ravens — Head says take the Steelers, but the Ravens may win this game.

[Right now, PropSwap is offering Pro Football Handle listeners 10% off their first purchase or sale. Just go to PropSwap.com/Handle to get 10% off.]

26:18 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 at Carolina Panthers — Will we see an inconsistent Fitzpatrick or the the return of FitzMagic?

28:51 — L.A. Chargers +1.5 at Seattle Seahawks — Great teaser potential, this will be a tight football game.

31:24 — Chicago Bears -10 at Buffalo Bills — This isn’t a bet on the Bears, it’s a bet against the Bills.

34:33 — Atlanta Falcons +1.5 at Washington Redskins — Washington may be the worst 5-2 team ever.

36:07 — N.Y Jets +3 at Miami Dolphins — At least they are playing each other…

36:23 — Houston Texans +1 and Denver Broncos — Houston is overrated and this is a game Denver can win.

39:14 — L.A. Rams +1.5 at New Orleans Saints — NFC Championship preview and the best regular season game of the year. Would a loss benefit the Rams?

45:10 — Green Bay Packers +5.5 at New England Patriots — Primetime, at home? You don’t bet against the Patriots.

51:12 — Tennessee Titans +6.5 at Dallas Cowboys — Do you have the stomach to take the Titans? Perrault just might.

[Located in New Jersey and want to join a quality legal sportsbook with a generous sign up bonus? Read our review of SugarHouse Sportsbook here. Sign up using our link and you’ll get a 100% match bonus on up to $250 on your first deposit (with only a 1x wager requirement). Use code HANDLE when depositing.

[You can download the app for Android phones here and iOS devices here. Prefer the laptop/desktop experience? The web-based platform is accessible here.]

Have a profitable Week 9, folks. Follow Perrault on Twitter @sportstalkmatt and Walker @robertusfsports.

Thanks for listening and see you back next week, tell a friend, sign up for our newsletter and also stay tuned for this week’s Cover City Podcast with Eric Rosenthal.

The post ‘Pro Football Handle’: NFL Week 9 Breakdown, Patriots-Packers, Rams-Saints appeared first on SportsHandle.

NFL Week 9: In ‘Lookahead Lines,’ Intrigue As Broncos Trade WR Thomas to Opponent

Posted on 31 October 2018 | by Brett Smiley

Every week, Sports Handle will look at NFL lines, specifically “lookahead lines” to see how they’re moving and why. Lookahead lines are those posted one week prior to a game or even before the season has begun, as CG Technology does.

By comparing changes between current lines and the numbers hung days earlier, we can get a sense of where recency bias or overreactions are seeping in.

We’ll highlight the significant shifts, look for value and suggest when it’s a good idea to get behind or stay away from certain teams. Here’s a look at the NFL Week 9 line moves and what it means to bettors. (Note: odds indicated are based on current numbers at several Las Vegas sportsbooks.)

NFL Week 9 Lines, Before And After: Texans-Broncos, Rams-Saints in NFC Heavyweight Clash; FitzMagic Getting 7 At Carolina?

Houston Texans at Denver Broncos (-1)

The Texans-Broncos matchup has the most notable line movement of the week. The SuperBook made the Texans a 1.5-point road favorite last week in its early lines. Houston then destroyed the Dolphins on national TV Thursday night, 42-23. Meanwhile, the Broncos fell (and covered) in Kansas City, 30-23.

The Texans have won five straight (3-2 ATS), while Denver is 1-5 in its last six games (3-3 ATS). The SuperBook opened this number as a pick ’em on Sunday night and within a couple hours it moved to the Broncos -2.5. The Texans did suffer a big loss against Miami when receiver Will Fuller tore his ACL. Deshaun Watson’s numbers are much better with Fuller in the lineup. But is Fuller worth four points? Traditionally only QBs cause moves like that.

The public has come out ahead the last two weeks and they’re certain to be on the Texans Sunday. The Broncos are 2-2 at home this year and 2-1-1 ATS.

But then on Tuedsay an hour after the Broncos traded for WR Demaryius Thomas to their opponent this week — the Texans! — the line dropped to Denver -1.5 and to -1 as of Wednesday morning. Don’t be surprised if Houston is a slight favorite by kickoff. The Texans are playing much better over the last month but the value may end up being on Denver if it becomes a home ‘dog.

Expected Value In Sports Betting (EV), Explained In Understandable Terms

Posted on 31 October 2018 | by Brett Smiley

Editor’s Note: The article below originally appeared in Berryhorse’s (real name Kieran) free newsletter BetItUp, which you can (and should) subscribe to here to learn more about predictive sports modeling, betting, bankroll management and more. The article is published at Sports Handle with his permission.

It’s very easy to lose money betting on sports. Losing wagers may still provide good entertainment for a few hours, but people wanting to actually make money need discipline and at least a basic understanding of math and probability.

Some bettors consider themselves “Positive EV” or +EV bettors, referring to positive expected value. There’s a bunch of articles on the subject that are too complex, especially for those not mathematically inclined. So if you’re encountering EV principles for the first time or need a refresher, we’re pleased to share what’s below by Mr. Berryhorse, which should be digestible by sports bettors of all levels.

SuperContest Contestants Crush In Week 8, Average Over 3 Correct Picks Apiece

Posted on 30 October 2018 | by Brett Smiley

Westgate Las Vegas Supercontest players in NFL Week 8 turned in a season-high performance, averaging 3.04 points with nearly 10 percent of the field scoring a perfect 5-0. A total of 270 of the 3,123-entrant field notched 5 points as the top six most popular sides covered the spread this week.

Los Angeles Rams running back Todd Gurley’s wise football decision to hit the ground and kill the clock rather than cruise into the end zone against the Packers, while leading 29-27 in the waning seconds, had no impact on the 9.5-point SuperContest spread. Even if Gurley had punched it in, the Rams would have kicked the extra point, making the margin 9 at most.

And the Packers +9.5 coming off their bye at the undefeated Rams was the most popular side, by the way. Nearly 40 percent of the pool put their faith in Aaron Rodgers in a spot where his Packers were the biggest point-spread underdog in his career. Here’s the Week 8 sports betting snapshot, then we’ll dig into more of the key decisions this week.

Favorites vs Underdogs (ATS): 8-6
Home vs Away (ATS): 5-9
Over/Under record: 45-9
Straight up underdog wins: 3

Week 9 College Football Picks: Take Iowa Over Overvalued Penn State

Posted on 26 October 2018 | by Jill Dorson

The post Week 9 College Football Picks: Take Iowa Over Overvalued Penn State appeared first on SportsHandle.

Each week we’ll be providing our top college football picks.

Also check out our NFL “Lookahead Lines” story, finding value (or not) by comparing earlier lines, and identifying recency bias.

Back to the college game (season record: 11-9) … This week we look at three live underdogs and a big favorite in the Big Ten.

College Football Picks Week 9: Take Iowa Over Penn State; Maryland Should Have a Fairly Easy Time With Illinois

Iowa +6.5 over Penn State

Penn State continues to be the most overvalued team in college football. After losing two straight, the Nittany Lions managed to squeak by a bad Indiana team last week, 33-28, as a 14-point favorite. Penn State won the game despite being outgained by 137 yards.

Iowa has won three consecutive games by a combined score of 113-47 and is coming off a 23-0 shutout over Maryland. The Hawkeyes have been money on the road in recent years, going 22-10-1 ATS in its last 33 games away from home.

It seems like people still aren’t buying into Iowa, but the Hawkeyes have outgained five opponents by at least 100 yards and their only blemish this season was a tough loss at Wisconsin. Penn State has failed to cover its last two games as favorites, while Iowa is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games dating back to last year.

The money came in on Penn State early with the line opening between 4.5-6 and up to 6.5 at most Las Vegas sportsbooks. I expect the money to come in the other way as we get closer to kickoff. Almost a touchdown is too much to give in what should be a close game throughout.

I’ll gladly take the Hawkeyes plus the points with a small wager on the Iowa ML +210.

Texas A&M +1 over Mississippi State

These two teams are going in opposite directions. Texas A&M has won three straight and is coming off a bye, while Mississippi State has lost three of four.

The Bulldogs were expected to be Alabama’s biggest threat in the SEC West, but have struggled on the offensive side of the ball. Mississippi State has scored seven points or fewer in its last three losses.

The Bulldogs aren’t likely to get the offense going this week. Texas A&M allows just 78 yards per game rushing and 3.1 yards per carry. The Aggies’ defense has held its last three opponents to a season-low in total yards. Mississippi State will need to throw the ball to win this game and that won’t be easy.

Quarterback Nick Fitzgerald is coming off a game versus LSU where he threw for 59 yards and four interceptions while completing just 33 percent of his passes. Fitzgerald has thrown for fewer than 100 yards in three straight games with no touchdowns and five interceptions.

The Aggies are 6-1 ATS this season and after starting 3-0. Mississippi State is 1-3 SU and ATS in its last four games. I’ll call for the small road upset here. Keep in mind the line opened at 3 and has come down to 1.

[You can download the app for Android phones here and iOS devices here. Prefer the laptop/desktop experience? The web-based platform is accessible here.]

Kentucky +7 over Missouri

I took Kentucky last week as a 14-point favorite over Vanderbilt. They won, 14-7, failing to cover in one of the ugliest games you’ll ever see. I’m going back to the Wildcats getting a touchdown on the road to Missouri this week.

The Tigers hammered Memphis last Saturday, 65-33, as a nine-point favorite. Memphis is a perfect opponent for Missouri because it has one of the worst defenses in the country. The Tigers face a much tougher test this week against Kentucky. The Wildcats rank 11th in total defense, holding opponents to 108 yards below their season average.

Kentucky is also 14th in pass efficiency defense and its defensive front should create problems for Missouri quarterback Drew Lock. Lock’s numbers are great against weaker competition, but he has a TD to interception ratio of 21-28 versus Power 5 bowl opponents.

Missouri has played four Power 5 teams this year, beating Purdue by three, losing to Georgia by 14, losing to South Carolina by three and losing to Alabama by 29. A touchdown is too much here with an overvalued Missouri team. Kentucky has won three straight in this series. Make it four.

Maryland -17.5 over Illinois

This is the first meeting between the two schools and Illinois comes in losers of four of its last five games. The Illini have been outscored in their last two games, 95-27, in losses to Purdue and Wisconsin.

Maryland got shut out, 23-0, on the road in Iowa last week, but I view the Hawkeyes as one of the top teams in the Big Ten. The Terrapins have taken care of business versus teams they’re supposed to beat this year, defeating Bowling Green by 31, Minnesota by 29, and Rutgers by 27.

Maryland is tough when it can run the football with running backs Ty Johnson and Anthony McFarland. Expect that to be the case on Saturday against an Illinois defense allowing 273 rushing yards per game and 6.1 yards per rush in Big Ten play.

Maryland is 4-3 and 3-1 at home while playing one of the nation’s toughest schedules. It gets a breather this week in the reeling Illini who are just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 as an away dog. The Terrapins romp at home.

Also check out The Pro Football Handle: NFL Week 8 has both a potential NFC Championship preview in Saints vs. Vikings and the worst game of the year with 49ers vs. Cardinals. The New York Football Giants are in the midst of a fire sale and the Oakland Raiders are officially in tank mode. There are some crazy lines this week, listen below for complete insight and some laughs:

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The post Week 9 College Football Picks: Take Iowa Over Overvalued Penn State appeared first on SportsHandle.

‘Cover City’: NFL Week 8 Picks, Preview With Christian Pina

Posted on 25 October 2018 | by Brett Smiley

Sports Handle is pleased to present Cover City: A Pro Football Betting Podcast, hosted by Eric Rosenthal (@ericcports). Rosenthal is a professional sports bettor who focuses on NFL and college football. He’s wagered more than $25 million in the last nine years, getting banned from many sportsbooks along the way.

For the NFL Week 8 picks and preview pod, Rosenthal is joined again by Christian Pina (@ChristianPina), professional sports handicapper for Radar Sharp Edge, host of Inside Vegas and Gambling Podcast content editor. With some truly bad games (for bettors and fans alike) this week, the guys are picking their spots carefully.

But there are some great teaser opportunities and prop bets out there for consideration. Don’t miss Rosenthal’s SuperContest picks at the end of the pod, too.

Time codes for the episode follow below. Listen and subscribe on Spotify here.

1:17 — Week 7 recap and lessons learned.

4:25 — Philadelphia Eagles -3 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (London) — Both teams are struggling and while this is technically a neutral site, the “London Jaguars” are familiar with this city and trip.

8:18 — Cleveland Browns +8 at Pittsburgh Steelers — This game is why teasers exist.

12:00 — Denver Broncos +10 at Kansas City Chiefs — Team totals are the way to go for this type of game. Possible 3 team teaser.

15:12– N.Y. Jets +7.5 at Chicago Bears — Rosenthal has no interest in betting this game, and Christian notes that most of the money coming in is on the Bears.

16:14 — Washington Redskins PK at N.Y. Giants— Neither Rosenthal nor Christian are betting this game. Pass or take the Giants.

18:38 — Seattle Seahawks +3 at Detroit Lions — Rosenthal’s favorite line on the board, he loves the Lions and is waiting for a move to 2.5.

21:46 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.5 at Cincinnati Bengals — Buy low, sell high. Bengals QB Andy Dalton in the prop market is a great look.

24:00 — Baltimore Ravens -2 at Carolina Panthers — Rosenthal staying away from this game but Christian is leaning towards Baltimore with a bounce back for Ravens QB Joe Flacco.

26:23 — Indianapolis Colts -3 at Oakland Raiders — Raiders coach John Gruden is locked in on Vegas and will do it his way. Take the over.

30:10 — San Francisco 49ers PK at Arizona Cardinals — Christian is avoiding this game, but Rosenthal sees a 3-team teaser opportunity.

34:20 — Green Bay Packers +9.5 vs. L.A. Rams — Game of the week! Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is the best in the game, while the Rams are on another planet. Take the over on Rams total, or total overall.

40:37 — New Orleans Saints PK at Minnesota Vikings — Good game, tough game, keep an eye on the prop market, especially Vikings WR Adam Thielen.

44:09 — New England Patriots -14 at Buffalo Bills — Check out the first quarter line and first half line. If you like the Pats, take them now. Buffalo is not going to win.

48:55 — SuperContest picks!

[You can download the app for Android phones here and iOS devices here. Prefer the laptop/desktop experience? The web-based platform is accessible here.]

Also check out: Sports Handle’s Week 8 edition of “Lookahead Lines“: By comparing changes between current lines and the numbers hung days earlier, we can get a sense of where recency bias or overreactions are seeping in.

Listen to more ‘Cover City’: NFL Week 8 Picks, Preview With Christian Pina on SportsHandle.