Sep 19, 2021; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10) is pressured by Dallas Cowboys safety Jayron Kearse (27) in the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 NFL capsules

Week 6 NFL capsules

Ravens (3-2) vs. Titans (2-3), in London: Pour your coffee with the Ravens’ No. 2-ranked defense, allowing 15 points per game, in a morning matchup with the Titans, who rank 26th in the NFL in scoring. Titans QB Ryan Tannehill insists a shift is only a matter of “executing” in the red zone with Tennessee scoring just seven total touchdowns in five games. Signs of life emerged in the passing game with WR DeAndre Hopkins delivering his best game with the team (eight receptions, 140 yards) last week. Baltimore has at least 100 rushing yards in 21 consecutive games. The Ravens lost their only other London game, 44-7 to the Jaguars in 2018.

Commanders (2-3) at Falcons (3-2): Washington was whipped by the previously winless Bears, allowing 40 points to Chicago last Thursday. The Commanders beat the Falcons (19-13) last season. Atlanta QB Desmond Ridder is comfortable at home in the dome, where he’s 3-0 as the Falcons’ starter. Washington not only is trying to recover from the 40-20 loss to the Bears but is seeking to win for the first time since a 2-0 start. QB Sam Howell passed for 388 yards in the loss and has the depth at wide receiver to challenge the Falcons’ secondary. Ridder, who passed for a career-best 329 yards and ran for a TD last week, has the luxury of rookie RB Bijan Robinson as a dependable crutch. Washington’s strong defensive line figures to play a crucial role. Ridder was sacked 16 times in the first four games this season, but was kept clean last week.

Vikings (1-4) at Bears (1-4): The Bears haven’t posted consecutive wins since Week 16 and Week 17 of the 2021 season. To get it done here, the Bears likely need to put up another big point total. Chicago has allowed 157 points in five games. The Bears get a break of sorts with All-Pro WR Justin Jefferson (hamstring) landing on IR, which pushes the lead receiver tag to either TE T.J. Hockenson or rookie WR Jordan Addison. This is Chicago’s first look at Minnesota with Dalvin Cook and Adam Thielen subtracted from the offense. The Vikings have blitzed on more than half of the defensive plays this season, and protecting QB Justin Fields is a chronic flaw for Chicago. Fields has been sacked 20 times in five games. The Bears aren’t certain which back will emerge to carry the load this week with Khalil Herbert sidelined.

Seahawks (3-1) at Bengals (2-3): QB Joe Burrow had his best game of the 2023 season and connected with WR Ja’Marr Chase 15 times for 192 yards and three TDs to beat the Arizona Cardinals last week. Seattle comes off the bye healthier and spent time focused on fixing a third-down offense converting only 28.9 percent of attempts to first downs. But the Seahawks are 2-0 on the road this season and are averaging 32.3 points per game since the Week 1 loss to the Rams. The Bengals are getting just 74.6 rushing yards per game out of Joe Mixon and Co. That’s adding pressure for Burrow to move the chains through the air.
Cincinnati’s run defense is also lagging at 154 rushing yards per game, which sets up as an opening for the Seahawks to spotlight their RB tandem of Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet.

49ers (5-0) at Browns (2-2): Rested Cleveland returns from the bye week without QB Deshaun Watson (shoulder) and will start a third different quarterback in five games when PJ Walker gets the call. Walker was 4-3 as a replacement starter with the Panthers and was benched in 2022 with the Panthers by interim coach Steve Wilks, who is now the defensive coordinator of the 49ers. San Francisco’s rugged defense allows just 13.6 points per game. Is Cleveland’s defense capable of handing 49ers QB Brock Purdy his first regular-season loss? Not falling behind early could be crucial. The 49ers have a field goal and four touchdowns on their five opening drives this season.

Saints (3-2) at Texans (2-3): New Orleans discovered its running game and ended a streak of 10 consecutive games with 21 points or fewer by defeating the New England Patriots 34-0 last Sunday. New Orleans had season highs of 42 rushes and 136 yards on the ground against New England and scored three touchdowns on four red-zone trips. The Texans managed just one touchdown and settled for four field goals in a 21-19 road loss to Atlanta in Week 5, but rookie QB C.J. Stroud is playing at a very high level, not for a rookie but “for any NFL quarterback,” Saints head coach Dennis Allen said this week. Stroud hasn’t been sacked in the past three games and has a streak of 177 consecutive passes without throwing an interceptions.

Colts (3-2) at Jaguars (3-2): QB Anthony Richardson (shoulder) landed on IR and won’t be available for a rematch with the Jaguars after nearly leading Indy’s upset of Jacksonville in the regular-season opener. Jacksonville’s late TD and goal-line stand gave the Jaguars the win in Week 1. Gardner Minshew spent two seasons (2019-20) with Jacksonville and passed for 37 touchdowns against only 11 interceptions in 23 games (20 starts), but returns as the Colts’ QB1 to face his replacement, Trevor Lawrence. Jaguars RB Travis Etienne Jr. compiled a career-best 184 total yards (136 rushing, 48 receiving) against the Bills. He also rushed for two fourth-quarter touchdowns. The Colts have won three of four games since losing Week 1 and RB Jonathan Taylor is being prepped for a bigger workload after not playing in the first four games because of an ankle injury.

Panthers (0-5) at Dolphins (4-1): Miami is off to its best start in 20 years and will be making adjustments to the offensive depth chart after an injury to a rising star in the backfield. The Panthers are the only NFL team without a victory this year. Miami’s offense has weapons everywhere, but tweaks were needed this week because running back De’Von Achane, who racked up 151 rushing yards last week against the New York Giants, has been placed on injured reserve with a knee injury. The Panthers are simplifying the offense to benefit rookie QB Bryce Young, head coach Frank Reich said this week, as he faces another former Alabama quarterback — Tua Tagovailoa — on Sunday.

Patriots (1-4) at Raiders (2-3): Mentor Bill Belichick catches up with former Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, current head coach of the Raiders, in a meeting of two of the NFL’s least-productive offenses. Belichick’s Patriots average an NFL-worst 11.0 points per game and rank 26th in total offense. Outscored 72-3 the past two games, the Patriots have gone 34 consecutive drives without scoring an offensive touchdown. The Raiders are 29th in total offense (281.2 yards) and 32nd in rushing (71.4). Las Vegas mustered 279 total yards and 96 rushing in its 17-13 victory over the Green Bay Packers Monday. The decision snapped a three-game losing skid for the Raiders.

Lions (4-1) at Buccaneers (3-1): Division leaders square off in Florida as the Lions attempt to improve a two-game lead over the Packers and a three-game advantage over Minnesota and Chicago. Detroit is coming off a 42-24 thumping of winless Carolina, and its offense has been lethal with QB Jared Goff accounting for four total touchdowns last week. Tampa Bay’s defense is flying under the radar despite 12 sacks and 10 takeaways. The Lions have won three consecutive games by 14-plus points and are downright dominant stopping the run (68 yards per game). QB Baker Mayfield has seven touchdown passes but three of them are to WR Mike Evans, who underwent an MRI exam on his injured hamstring during the bye week. The Buccaneers allowed four sacks in the first four games.

Cardinals (1-4) at Rams (2-3): Cooper Kupp’s return was welcomed by QB Matthew Stafford, who is fourth in the NFL in passing yards. Stafford didn’t throw a TD pass in the matchup with Arizona last year. The road team has won every game in this series the past two seasons. Prior to 2021, the Rams had won eight consecutive regular-season games over the Cardinals with Sean McVay as head coach. The Cardinals have been competitive in their four losses, but in those games have been outscored 51-0 in the fourth quarter. They will be facing the Rams without leading rusher James Conner, who was placed on injured reserve Tuesday after sustaining a knee injury in the second quarter last week against the Bengals.

Eagles (5-0) at Jets (2-3): The Jets rode RB Breece Hall to a victory at Denver last week, but the degree of difficulty shifts in Week 6. The Eagles have swept all 12 previous meetings against the Jets dating back to 1973, outscoring New York by a 335-195 margin in the process. Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts also brings a significant streak into this contest against the Jets, having won his past 11 road starts in the regular season. The Eagles improved to 3-0 away from home this year with a 23-14 victory over the Los Angeles Rams last Sunday. Jets QB Zach Wilson has just one interception in the past three games, giving the defense a chance to keep New York in games late. The Jets have two defensive touchdowns and two rushing scores this season.

Giants (1-4) at Bills (3-2): A primetime billing for Giants-Bills won’t involve QB Daniel Jones, whose neck injury worsened throughout the week. Tyrod Taylor, once a starter for Buffalo, gets the call as the Bills offer up a stern test to a patchwork Giants’ offensive line. New York is allowing 6.0 sacks per game and is minus-five in turnover ratio. The 30 sacks allowed by the Giants is a red flag given Taylor’s injury history and spells a likely run-heavy offensive approach. RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) hasn’t played in the past three games. Buffalo also is familiar with Giants head coach Brian Daboll, who was offensive coordinator of the Bills prior to being hired to revive the Giants. Daboll also knows plenty about Buffalo’s personnel, including QB Josh Allen. Allen has 120 rushing yards and three TDs and 11 TD passes.

Cowboys (3-2) at Chargers (2-2): “Humbled” by the 49ers in a 42-10 smackdown in San Francisco last week, Dak Prescott prepares to face the Chargers, who enter off their bye week with RB Austin Ekeler primed to play for the first time since he racked up 164 scrimmage yards (117 rushing, 47 receiving) in a 36-34 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 1. Prescott and the Cowboys had only eight first downs last week, hiking up the heat on head coach and playcaller Mike McCarthy. He fired Kellen Moore from the offensive coordinator position in Dallas, and Moore was hired to run the Chargers’ offense. QB Justin Herbert, who is playing with a broken left middle finger, is completing 71 percent of his passes with seven TD passes and one interception this season. Dallas won the most recent meeting, 20-17, in 2021.

–Field Level Media

Oct 8, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew (10) fakes a hand off to Indianapolis Colts running back Zack Moss (21) on during a game against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium . Mandatory Credit: Bob Scheer-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 NFL bets: Indy off to races in the South?

There are moving parts in our top pick this week as the Indianapolis Colts visit the Jacksonville Jaguars in an AFC South showdown.

The Colts (3-2) lost standout rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson but found a way to win last Sunday against the Tennessee Titans.

Gardner Minshew, one of the most trusted backup quarterbacks in the NFL, took over for Richardson and once again contributed to an Indy victory.

The Jaguars moved from London — where they spent two weeks-plus and beat the Atlanta Falcons and Buffalo Bills — back to Florida without the benefit of a week off.

We have a primary play, along with a pair of bonus bets for Week 6. All odds per BetMGM.


Colts at Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET Sunday

The line: Jaguars -4.

The return from London without a soft landing raises concern for Jaguars backers.

Coupled with the international travel, a short week follows with a Jacksonville date with the New Orleans Saints next Thursday night.

Jaguars coach Doug Pederson must be asking: Who approved this schedule?

According to Action Network stats, Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence is 3-7 against the spread as a favorite, including 0-5 ATS when favored by four or more.

Most national power rankings have these teams at or near the middle of the pack in the NFL. Intangibles and variables hovering over this game have to mean a little more.

First, the line has tumbled from 5.5 down to four points, indicating our opinion on Indy is shared.

Second, Minshew is a solid game manager whose streaky passing can elevate the offense. Rookie receiver Josh Downs has seen increasing targets and has made some big plays. He’s become a nice complement to WR1 Michael Pittman.

Last Sunday in relief of Richardson, Minshew completed 11 of 14 attempts for 155 yards as Indianapolis joined Jacksonville in a tie for first in the AFC South.

Minshew faces the team that traded him prior to the start of the 2021 season — after using its No. 1 pick on his replacement, Lawrence.

But he has no hard feelings for the 3-2 Jaguars.

“Not really, man,” Minshew said. “Just excited to get out there and play football. Wherever, whenever, it’s always a good time.”

Finally, the Colts’ running game received a boost with the return of former All-Pro Jonathan Taylor — and a big effort from fellow RB Zack Moss, who rolled to 165 yards and two touchdowns last week.

Taylor’s share of the touches should certainly rise this week.

The pick: Colts +4.


“He’s a good player, a smart player. I learned some things from him for sure, especially being a young player coming into this league. He’s played really well in his career up to this point. … I have a lot of respect for him. Good opportunity (for him). He’s playing well this season.” –Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence on Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew


How did the Washington Commanders cough up 40 points to the Chicago Bears? And how eager are the Atlanta Falcons to grab a slice of that?

Commanders at Falcons, 1 p.m. ET Sunday

The line: Falcons -2.5.

If you haven’t watched Atlanta rookie running back Bijan Robinson, tune in for the show. He figures to enjoy a big breakout at home against Washington.

Embattled Falcons quarterback Desmond Ridder actually wasn’t bad last week in a win over Houston, throwing for 329 yards and a touchdown.

Ridder hasn’t been very good this season. He trails only Patriots quarterback Mac Jones in Turnover Worthy Plays (per Pro Football Focus) and — until last week — had not inspired much confidence.

But last week was promising.

Even more promising were the seven catches (on 11 targets!) and 87 yards for tight end Kyle Pitts.

The Commanders’ stinker against the Bears could certainly be an anomaly, but this team appeared to have too many questions to recover in 10 days’ time.

Home crowd, small point spread and emerging performances push the pick toward the Falcons in this one.

The pick: Falcons -2.5.


We’ll try to cash again on our top prop after 49ers receiver Brandon Aiyuk narrowly went over his 56.5 receiving yards number last week.

This time, we’ll tempt fate by backing the serial underachiever Kyle Pitts. The sportsbooks aren’t buying his breakout last week, but we’ll say he’s good for at least 34 receiving yards.

Prop play: Pitts over 33.5 receiving yards.

–Field Level Media

Sep 24, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets running back Dalvin Cook (33) carries the ball asNew England Patriots linebacker Ja'Whaun Bentley (8) defends during the second half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 props: Will Jets give Dalvin Cook a look?

Week 6 marks the end of the London games on the schedule, with the morning meeting between Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans on Sunday.

Bye weeks are in the mix again with four teams off last week and the Packers and Steelers off in Week 6.

Here are our top five player props for Week 6.

–Raiders tight end Michael Mayer under 18.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Mayer’s two catches for 39 yards in Week 5 equates to a breakout performance, considering he was targeted twice with one catch for 2 yards in his previous four games.

Mayer, active for all five games this season while playing at least 40 percent of the Raiders’ offensive snaps, did see an increased snap count to 66 percent in Week 5.

We’re not convinced we can read too much into that.

After all, it was the first time this season that Mayer saw close to 10 percent more of the snaps than fellow tight end Austin Hooper.

The Raiders are coming off a game against a Packers team that ranks 17th in receiving yards allowed to tight ends. This week, they’ll face a Patriots defense that’s allowed the fifth-fewest receiving yards (142) to tight ends.

Patriots coach Bill Belichick should be familiar with Raiders quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo from his time in New England. Look for Belichick to try and take away the middle of the field and force Garoppolo to beat him outside the numbers.

–Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa under 31.5 pass attempts (+100 at BetMGM)
The Dolphins are the second-highest favorites on the board this week for several reasons. Carolina is still winless on the year and ranks 29th defensively in FTN Fantasy’s DVOA metric.

However, a closer look reveals that Carolina’s defensive frailty might have more to do with stopping the run.

The Panthers actually rank dead last in EPA (expected points added) against the run, but they’re ninth in EPA against the pass.

As a result, the Dolphins’ running game should be on prominent display.

Even with Miami’s standout rookie running back De’Von Achane set to miss the next four games with a knee injury, you can argue that there’s a bit of a plug-and-play aspect with the Dolphins’ ground game.

While Achane drew plenty of headlines with his 460 rushing yards through four games and 12.1 yards per carry, Raheem Mostert has also been productive with 5.4 yards per carry.

Chris Brooks will likely see more touches, and even though he only has nine carries on the year, he’s averaging 7.3 yards per rush.

With Miami being such heavy favorites at home against a team that struggles to stop the run, this doesn’t feel like a game where the Dolphins will have to rely on Tagovailoa’s arm to lead them to victory.

–Rams tight end Tyler Higbee under 3.5 receptions (+110 at BetMGM)
After back-to-back games with five receptions, Higbee had two grabs on three targets in Week 5. But there was another critical development in their recent game against the Eagles as Cooper Kupp returned from injury.

Kupp missed the first four weeks due to a hamstring strain. In his first game back, he saw 12 targets and caught eight passes for 118 yards.

The emergence of rookie wide receiver Puka Nacua left Van Jefferson expendable and he was traded to the Falcons.

Bettors can attribute some correlation here with Kupp’s return and a decline in Higbee’s production. There’s only one ball to go around, and we think Higbee will find himself even lower down the pecking order in Week 6.

–Breece Hall under 13.5 rush attempts (-125 at DraftKings)
Hall is fresh off a breakout game with 22 carries for 177 yards to help the Jets beat the Broncos. However, that performance came against a defense ranked dead last in defensive DVOA and 30th in EPA against the run.

This week, the Jets face an Eagles’ run defense currently ninth in EPA. While there’s no question that the Jets are stepping up in class, Hall’s heavy workload in Week 5 makes him even more of a fade candidate this week against the Eagles.

It’s worth noting that he didn’t register more than 12 carries in any of his first four games.

The Jets are as high as seven-point home underdogs, with the Eagles coming to town. And if they have to play from behind, the Eagles will likely force them into passing situations where they’ll have to abandon the run.

–Dalvin Cook over 13.5 rushing yards (-120 at DraftKings)
We like correlated plays, and this one makes some sense: All in on Cook’s rushing prop to go over 13.5 yards.

We’re not asking for a ton of yardage here, as Cook has already gone over this number in four of five games this season.

The seventh-year pro is only averaging 2.7 yards per carry, and he’s at that age (28) where we tend to see some decline in production at the running back position.

However, Cook still has a role to play on this Jets team as he can help carry some of the load at running back with Hall only in his second season as a pro.

With coaches very mindful of the workload for their running backs game by game, look for some of Hall’s carries to go to Cook in Week 6.

–By Michael Nwaneri, Field Level Media

NFL Week 8: Over and Under Best Bets

NFL Week 6 Stat Recap Table: QB, RB and WR

For some, it was an amazing week, like Tom Brady, Todd Gurley and Tyreek Hill. For others like Marcus Mariota, it was a week to forget. The Titans allowed him to be sacked 11 times, and yet he completed only 10 passes. It’s not uncommon to see something like this when a backup comes in for a possession or two, but Mariota played the entire game. Either the Ravens defense was on fire, or the Titans are in desperate need of a offensive line.

Notable Performances

  • Jameis Winston, Andrew Luck ,and Patrick Mahomes tossed for 4 touchdowns
  • Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers both produced 2 touchdowns, along with last minute game winning drives
  • Melvin Gordon rushed for 132 yards and 3 touchdowns
  • Todd Gurley rushed for 208 yards and 2 touchdowns
  • Tyreek Hill caught 7 passes for 142 yards and 3 touchdowns